Result
2:0
23/04/2025 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (31/41) | 70% (31/44) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 52% (13/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 33% (1/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (13/44) | 24% (10/41) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (12/25) | 33% (9/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 33% (1/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (49/68) | 64% (44/69) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (25/69) | 28% (19/68) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (74/137) | 46% (63/137) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 9% (1/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 45% (10/22) |
Chances of winning
Alibek Kachmazov
60.5% | Rio Noguchi
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alibek Kachmazov's performance.Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alibek Kachmazov that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Noguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alibek Kachmazov - Rio Noguchi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.72) |
|
2.38 ↑
(2.02) |
7%
(7.9%) | |
Preview Facts
- Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 185. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 254.
- Kachmazov is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Noguchi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Kachmazov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alibek Kachmazov won against Rio Noguchi?
Alibek Kachmazov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Noguchi won against Alibek Kachmazov?
Rio Noguchi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alibek Kachmazov - Rio Noguchi were as follows:
Latest results of Alibek Kachmazov
Latest results of Rio Noguchi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Walton A. (1) | Sharipov M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kubler J. (PR) | Kwon S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Uchida K. (Q) | Uchiyama Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Grenier H. | Tu L. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Schoolkate T. (4) | Sakamoto R. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ruusuvuori E. | Simakin I. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lestienne C. | Chung H. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Durasovic V. (LL) | Trotter J. K. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | McCabe J. (8) | Watanuki Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Svajda Z. | Monday J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Park U. (Q) | Chung Y. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Hsu Y. H. (Q) | Holt B. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Atmane T. (RET.) (7) | Kachmazov A. | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Noguchi R. (Q) | Shimabukuro S. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Zhou Y. | Jasika O. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Escoffier A. | Eubanks C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Walton A. (1) | Kubler J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Uchiyama Y. | Grenier H. (WO.) | |
| 3 | Schoolkate T. (4) | Simakin I. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Chung H. | Trotter J. K. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Watanuki Y. | Monday J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Park U. | Holt B. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Kachmazov A. | Noguchi R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Jasika O. | Escoffier A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kubler J. | Grenier H. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schoolkate T. (4) | Chung H. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Watanuki Y. | Holt B. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kachmazov A. | Jasika O. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kubler J. | Schoolkate T. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Watanuki Y. | Kachmazov A. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Kubler J. | Kachmazov A. | 2 : 1 |
