Alice Tubello vs Matilde Paoletti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W35 Santa Margherita Di Pula 10 Women Alice Tubello - Matilde Paoletti
Result
0:2
10/10/2024 at 06:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 10 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Max Games In Row
15

Chances of winning


Alice Tubello
37%
Matilde Paoletti
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 54.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alice Tubello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alice Tubello's form might have worsened.
  • Matilde Paoletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matilde Paoletti's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Tubello than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alice Tubello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Paoletti than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matilde Paoletti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alice Tubello - Matilde Paoletti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.07)

    1.47
    (1.66)
    8%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tubello is ranked WTA: 224. Paoletti is ranked WTA: 837.
    • Recent matches Tubello is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Paoletti is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Paoletti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Paoletti will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Our prediction for today's Paoletti to win the game is with odds 1.61.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alice Tubello
    Latest results of Matilde Paoletti
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Fita Boluda A. (1)Dessolis B.2 : 0
    2Chiesa E.Lukas T.1 : 2
    3Lene E.Maines N.2 : 1
    4Gandolfi F.Kabbaj Y. (8)1 : 2
    5Hobgarski K. (3)Ekshibarova V.2 : 0
    6Naito Y.Tsygourova K.2 : 1
    7Struplova J.Bertacchi A.2 : 0
    8Alvisi E.De Stefano S. (5)1 : 2
    9Shapatava S. (7)Bilardo F.0 : 2
    10Lollia M.Fornasieri C.2 : 0
    11Basiletti N.Baer C.2 : 0
    12Pastikova J.Hietaranta L. (4)2 : 0
    13Zaar L. (6)Seibold E.2 : 0
    14Bedini V.Taraba Wallberg N.0 : 2
    15Lizarazo Y.Valente D.2 : 1
    16Ricci B.Fossa Huergo N. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fita Boluda A. (1)Lukas T.1 : 2
    2Lene E.Kabbaj Y. (8)2 : 1
    3Hobgarski K. (3)Naito Y.2 : 0
    4Struplova J.De Stefano S. (5)2 : 0
    5Bilardo F.Lollia M.2 : 1
    6Basiletti N.Pastikova J.0 : 2
    7Zaar L. (6)Taraba Wallberg N.2 : 0
    8Lizarazo Y.Fossa Huergo N. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Lukas T.Lene E. (RET.)0 : 0
    2Hobgarski K. (3)Struplova J.2 : 0
    3Bilardo F. (RET.)Pastikova J.0 : 1
    4Zaar L. (6)Fossa Huergo N. (RET.) (2)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Lukas T.Hobgarski K. (3)2 : 1
    2Pastikova J.Zaar L. (6)2 : 1

    Final
    1Lukas T.Pastikova J.1 : 2