Alina Charaeva vs Himeno Sakatsume – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Tokyo Alina Charaeva - Himeno Sakatsume
Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
53%55%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (29/48)67% (28/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (17/43)34% (12/35)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)25% (2/8)
1st Return Points Won
33% (14/42)40% (19/48)
2nd Return Points Won
66% (23/35)60% (26/43)
Break Points Converted
75% (6/8)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
51% (44/87)52% (40/77)
Return Points Won
48% (37/77)49% (43/87)
Total Points Won
49% (81/164)51% (83/164)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
58% (7/12)54% (7/13)
Return Games Won
46% (6/13)42% (5/12)
Total Games Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)

Chances of winning


Alina Charaeva
46.7%
Himeno Sakatsume
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Himeno Sakatsume has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Alina Charaeva - Himeno Sakatsume Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.09)

    1.77
    (1.7)
    6.1%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Alina Charaeva - Himeno Sakatsume?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Sakatsume will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charaeva: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sakatsume (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Charaeva is ranked WTA: 151. Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 197.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    Latest results of Himeno Sakatsume
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Bye
    2Wang Xin.Gracheva V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Golubic V. (LL)Joint M.1 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Muchova K. (8)0 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (3)Bye
    6Charaeva A. (Q)Cristian J.0 : 2
    7Sonobe W. (WC)Bartunkova N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Uchijima M. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (7)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    10Lamens S. (LL)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    11Bucsa C. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    12ByeNoskova L. (6)
    13Mboko V. (9)Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Boulter K. (Q)Lys E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Sakkari M. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Gracheva V.
    2Joint M.Muchova K. (8)
    3Alexandrova E. (3)Cristian J.
    4Sonobe W.Kenin S.
    5Shnaider D. (7)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    6Kessler M.Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    7Mboko V. (9)Lys E.2 : 0
    8Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Kalinskaya A.Noskova L. (6)
    4Mboko V. (9)TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2