Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatancheva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/03/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
72%66%
1st serve points won
82% (31/38)57% (20/35)
2nd serve points won
53% (8/15)67% (12/18)
Break Points Saved
2/21/4
1st return points won
49% (17/35)24% (9/38)
2nd return points won
33% (6/18)47% (7/15)
Break Points Converted
3/40/2
Service Points Won
75% (39/52)58% (30/52)
Return Points Won
42% (22/52)25% (13/52)
Total Points Won
59% (61/104)41% (43/104)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
04
Service games won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Alina Charaeva
74.4%
Lia Karatancheva
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.5% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alina Charaeva's performance.
  • Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lia Karatancheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alina Charaeva that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lia Karatancheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alina Charaeva - Lia Karatancheva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.36)

    3.65
    (2.95)
    6.2%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Alina Charaeva - Lia Karatancheva?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Karatancheva will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Charaeva is ranked WTA: 137. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 291.
    • Charaeva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Karatancheva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Charaeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Charaeva is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Charaeva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alina Charaeva - Lia Karatancheva were as follows:
    23.05.2025 Alina Charaeva - Lia Karatancheva 2:1
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    Latest results of Lia Karatancheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rus A. (9)Gorgodze E.1 : 2
    2Kalinina A. (SE)Pridankina E. (Q)2 : 0
    3Charaeva A.Karatancheva L. (LL)2 : 0
    4Avanesyan E.Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (6)2 : 0
    5Udvardy P. (4)Romero Gormaz L.0 : 2
    6Kawa K.Papamichail D.2 : 0
    7Monnet C. (Q)Shymanovich I.2 : 0
    8Cengiz B. (WC)Salkova D. (7)1 : 2
    9Erjavec V. (5)Oz I. (WC)2 : 0
    10Kostovic T.Pigato L. (Q)2 : 1
    11Bronzetti L.Brancaccio N.0 : 2
    12Hontama M. (Q)Grabher J. (3)0 : 2
    13Chwalinska M. (8)Kumru A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Popa M. S. (WC)Zidansek T.1 : 2
    15Kudermetova P.Maristany G.2 : 0
    16Carle M. L.Uchijima M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gorgodze E.Kalinina A.0 : 2
    2Charaeva A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    3Romero Gormaz L.Kawa K.0 : 2
    4Monnet C.Salkova D. (7)2 : 0
    5Erjavec V. (5)Kostovic T.2 : 1
    6Brancaccio N.Grabher J. (3)2 : 1
    7Chwalinska M. (8)Zidansek T.1 : 2
    8Kudermetova P.Uchijima M. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kalinina A.Charaeva A.2 : 0
    2Kawa K.Monnet C.2 : 0
    3Erjavec V. (5)Brancaccio N.2 : 0
    4Zidansek T.Kudermetova P.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Kalinina A.Kawa K.2 : 0
    2Erjavec V. (5)Zidansek T.0 : 2

    Final
    1Kalinina A.Zidansek T.2 : 0