Alina Charaeva vs Polina Kudermetova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
52
1st serve percentage
51%61%
1st serve points won
57% (26/46)67% (29/43)
2nd serve points won
53% (24/45)57% (16/28)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)75% (6/8)
1st return points won
33% (14/43)43% (20/46)
2nd return points won
43% (12/28)47% (21/45)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
54% (49/90)63% (45/71)
Return Points Won
37% (26/71)46% (41/90)
Total Points Won
47% (75/161)53% (86/161)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
64% (7/11)82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)36% (4/11)
Total games won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Alina Charaeva
39.9%
Polina Kudermetova
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Polina Kudermetova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Kudermetova than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Alina Charaeva - Polina Kudermetova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.36)

    1.56
    (1.54)
    7%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Alina Charaeva - Polina Kudermetova?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kudermetova will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kudermetova: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Polina Kudermetova will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Charaeva is ranked WTA: 138. Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 148.
    • Charaeva is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Kudermetova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kudermetova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kudermetova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Charaeva will win today's game, with odds of 2.36.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Charaeva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Oliynykova O. (1)Brancaccio N.2 : 1
    2Shymanovich I.Pigato L. (Q)2 : 0
    3Riera J.Kostovic T. (Q)2 : 1
    4Maristany G.Rus A. (8)2 : 0
    5Uchijima M. (3)Kumru A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Cengiz B. (WC)Bronzetti L.0 : 2
    7Papamichail D.Ristic M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Lachinova A. (WC)Chwalinska M. (7)0 : 2
    9Sherif M. (5)Kawa K.1 : 2
    10Oz I. (WC)Zavatska K. (Q)2 : 0
    11Romero Gormaz L.Monnet C.2 : 1
    12Zidansek T.Erjavec V. (4)2 : 1
    13Salkova D. (5)Avanesyan E.0 : 2
    14Kalinina A.Gorgodze E.2 : 1
    15Charaeva A.Kudermetova P.0 : 2
    16Gasanova A.Udvardy P. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Oliynykova O. (1)Shymanovich I.2 : 0
    2Riera J.Maristany G.1 : 2
    3Uchijima M. (3)Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    4Papamichail D.Chwalinska M. (7)0 : 2
    5Kawa K.Oz I.2 : 0
    6Romero Gormaz L.Zidansek T.0 : 2
    7Avanesyan E.Kalinina A.0 : 2
    8Kudermetova P.Udvardy P. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Oliynykova O. (1)Maristany G.2 : 1
    2Uchijima M. (3)Chwalinska M. (7)2 : 1
    3Kawa K.Zidansek T.2 : 0
    4Kalinina A.Udvardy P. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Oliynykova O. (1)Uchijima M. (3)2 : 0
    2Kawa K.Kalinina A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Oliynykova O. (1)Kalinina A.1 : 2