Alina Korneeva vs Greetje Minnen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/02/2026 at 09:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
113
1st serve percentage
59%67%
1st serve points won
65% (30/46)55% (31/56)
2nd serve points won
44% (14/32)46% (13/28)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)40% (4/10)
1st return points won
45% (25/56)35% (16/46)
2nd return points won
54% (15/28)56% (18/32)
Break Points Converted
60% (6/10)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
56% (44/78)53% (44/83)
Return Points Won
47% (39/83)44% (34/78)
Total Points Won
52% (83/161)48% (78/161)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
69% (9/13)57% (8/14)
Return games won
43% (6/14)31% (4/13)
Total games won
56% (15/27)44% (12/27)

Chances of winning


Alina Korneeva
62%
Greetje Minnen
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alina Korneeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alina Korneeva's performance.
  • Greetje Minnen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greetje Minnen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Korneeva than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alina Korneeva that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greetje Minnen than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greetje Minnen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alina Korneeva - Greetje Minnen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.84)

    2.51
    (1.84)
    5.6%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Alina Korneeva - Greetje Minnen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Korneeva (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Alina Korneeva will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Korneeva is ranked WTA: 157. Minnen is ranked WTA: 127.
    • Korneeva is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Minnen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Minnen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alina Korneeva
    Latest results of Greetje Minnen
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Avanesyan E.2 : 1
    2Voloshchuk A. (WC)Stefanini L.1 : 2
    3Jorge M. (WC)Lepchenko V. (Q)2 : 0
    4Tomova V.Quevedo K. (9)0 : 2
    5Jimenez Kasintseva V. (4)Romero Gormaz L.0 : 2
    6Salkova D.Radivojevic L.0 : 2
    7Friedsam A-L.Korneeva A. (WC)1 : 2
    8Jakupovic D. (Q)Minnen G. (7)0 : 2
    9Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (5)Parrizas-Diaz N. (Q)1 : 2
    10Chwalinska M.Noha Akugue N. (Q)2 : 1
    11Shymanovich I.Monnet C.2 : 1
    12Bolsova Zadoinov A.Lamens S. (3)0 : 2
    13Klimovicova L. (8)Jorge F.0 : 2
    14Vidmanova D.Amorim G. (WC)2 : 0
    15Liang E. S. (LL)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    16Crawley F.Galfi D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Stefanini L.1 : 2
    2Jorge M.Quevedo K. (9)2 : 1
    3Romero Gormaz L.Radivojevic L.2 : 0
    4Korneeva A.Minnen G. (7)2 : 1
    5Parrizas-Diaz N.Chwalinska M.0 : 2
    6Shymanovich I.Lamens S. (3)0 : 2
    7Jorge F.Vidmanova D.1 : 2
    8Kalinina A.Galfi D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Stefanini L.Jorge M.1 : 2
    2Romero Gormaz L.Korneeva A.0 : 2
    3Chwalinska M.Lamens S. (3)2 : 0
    4Vidmanova D.Galfi D. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jorge M.Korneeva A.0 : 2
    2Chwalinska M.Vidmanova D.1 : 2

    Final
    1Korneeva A.Vidmanova D.2 : 0