Alina Korneeva vs Manon Leonard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Porto Challenger Women Alina Korneeva - Manon Leonard
Result
2:0
15/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
50
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
63%63%
1st Serve Points Won
90% (28/31)65% (24/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (9/18)45% (10/22)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
38% (14/37)23% (7/31)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (12/22)50% (9/18)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
76% (38/50)58% (34/59)
Return Points Won
42% (25/59)24% (12/50)
Total Points Won
58% (63/109)42% (46/109)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Alina Korneeva
70.7%
Manon Leonard
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alina Korneeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Manon Leonard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Korneeva than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Alina Korneeva - Manon Leonard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.35)

    3.2
    (2.95)
    6.3%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Alina Korneeva - Manon Leonard?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Korneeva will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Leonard will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leonard (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Korneeva is ranked WTA: 275. Leonard is ranked WTA: 192.
    • In recent matches, Korneeva has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leonard is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Leonard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Korneeva will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alina Korneeva
    Latest results of Manon Leonard
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ito A. (1)Sakatsume H. (Q)0 : 2
    2Korneeva A. (Q)Leonard M.2 : 0
    3Diatchenko V.Knutson G.2 : 0
    4Couto L. (WC)Charaeva A. (8)0 : 2
    5Valentova T. (3)Jorge F.2 : 0
    6Bektas E. (Q)Hruncakova V.1 : 2
    7Jorge M.Monnet C.2 : 0
    8Andrianjafitrimo T.Gao X. (5)0 : 2
    9Costoulas S. (RET.) (7)Preston T.0 : 1
    10Tararudee L.Ryser V.2 : 0
    11Falei A. (Q)Inoue H.1 : 2
    12Voloshchuk A. (WC)Watson H. (RET.) (4)1 : 0
    13Naef C. (6)Friedsam A-L.0 : 2
    14Cabrera L.Freitas A. (WC)2 : 0
    15Laundes F. (WC)Barthel M.0 : 2
    16Hontama M.Hon P. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sakatsume H.Korneeva A.2 : 0
    2Diatchenko V.Charaeva A. (8)2 : 1
    3Valentova T. (3)Hruncakova V.2 : 0
    4Jorge M.Gao X. (5)1 : 2
    5Preston T.Tararudee L.0 : 2
    6Inoue H.Voloshchuk A.0 : 2
    7Friedsam A-L.Cabrera L.2 : 0
    8Barthel M. (RET.)Hontama M.0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sakatsume H.Diatchenko V.2 : 1
    2Valentova T. (3)Gao X. (5)2 : 0
    3Tararudee L.Voloshchuk A.2 : 0
    4Friedsam A-L.Hontama M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sakatsume H.Valentova T. (3)0 : 2
    2Tararudee L.Friedsam A-L.2 : 0

    Final
    1Valentova T. (3)Tararudee L.2 : 0