Aliona Falei vs Matilde Jorge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W50 Montemor O Novo Women Aliona Falei - Matilde Jorge
Result
1:2
06/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Montemor-o-Novo, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
28

Chances of winning


Aliona Falei
40.2%
Matilde Jorge
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aliona Falei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aliona Falei's form might have worsened.
  • Matilde Jorge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matilde Jorge's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aliona Falei, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matilde Jorge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aliona Falei - Matilde Jorge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.85)

    1.56
    (1.85)
    7.5%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Falei is ranked WTA: 301. Jorge is ranked WTA: 292.
    • Falei is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Jorge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Aliona Falei
    Latest results of Matilde Jorge
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Inoue H. (1)Plaza Araujo L.2 : 0
    2Hrastar A.Noel C.2 : 0
    3Murta I.Matsuda R.0 : 2
    4Ewald W.Iatcenko P. (7)0 : 2
    5Jorge F. (3)Kawamura M.2 : 1
    6Otzipka J.Mdlulwa W.2 : 0
    7Robbe A.Martinez Vaquero M.1 : 2
    8Schoppe E.Micic E. (8)2 : 0
    9Falei A. (5)Voloshchuk A.2 : 0
    10Berecoechea N.Kulikova A.2 : 0
    11Garcia M.Franco Dias T.2 : 0
    12Omae A.Jorge M. (4)1 : 2
    13Raina A. (6)Freitas A.2 : 0
    14Dapkute I.da Silva Fick G. (RET.)1 : 1
    15Helmi O.Weckerle M.2 : 1
    16Rey Garcia A.Hruncakova V. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Inoue H. (1)Hrastar A.2 : 0
    2Matsuda R.Iatcenko P. (7)1 : 2
    3Jorge F. (3)Otzipka J.2 : 0
    4Martinez Vaquero M.Schoppe E.1 : 2
    5Falei A. (5)Berecoechea N.2 : 0
    6Garcia M.Jorge M. (4)0 : 2
    7Raina A. (6)Dapkute I.1 : 2
    8Helmi O.Hruncakova V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Inoue H. (1)Iatcenko P. (7)2 : 0
    2Jorge F. (3)Schoppe E.2 : 0
    3Falei A. (5)Jorge M. (4)1 : 2
    4Dapkute I.Hruncakova V. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Inoue H. (1)Jorge F. (3)0 : 2
    2Jorge M. (4)Hruncakova V. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Jorge F. (3)Jorge M. (4)0 : 2