Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomWASP TV

Match Stats

Yellow cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Davidson A. , Murray I. (A),
  • 27', Paterson B. , Thomas M. ,
  • 35', McCarvel L. 🟨,
  • 41', O'Donnell C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', Corr D. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Burnside C. ,
  • 68', McCarvel L. , Cooper C. ,
  • 68', Murray I. , Cunningham R. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Burnside C. , Stewart L. (A),
  • 78', Donnelly L. , Gallagher C. ,
  • 78', Adamson C. , Clarke A. ,
  • 79', Fisher S. 🟨,
  • 80', Graham J. , Pettifer A. ,
  • 80', Fisher S. , Arnott A. ,
  • 83', Scougall S. , Hetherington S. ,
  • 88', O'Donnell C. , Waters C. ,

Chances of winning


Alloa Athletic
53.4%
Draw
26%
Kelty Hearts
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 24.1% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 23.2% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alloa Athletic's form might have worsened.
  • Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alloa Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kelty Hearts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.51)
    3.56
    (3.79)
    4.5
    (5.84)
    8.2%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 3.
    • Alloa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kelty Hearts has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Alloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alloa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alloa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 2.1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic 1:1
    01.11.2025 Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts 3:0
    07.10.2025 Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic 0:2
    03.05.2025 Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic 2:1
    15.02.2025 Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts 2:0
    Latest results of Alloa Athletic
    Latest results of Kelty Hearts
    Scottish League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inverness30188452:203257
    2Stenhousemuir301511441:221956
    3Alloa30138945:301547
    4Queen of South301281047:41644
    5Peterhead301161343:53-1039
    6Montrose301081242:55-1338
    7East Fife30861629:54-2530
    8Cove Rangers306101434:39-528
    9Hamilton301371046:341225
    10Kelty Hearts303101725:56-3119

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ Championship (Promotion: )
          League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two