Almere City vs Roda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 25
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.492.78
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
2224
Shots on target
37
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
513
Passes
79% (300/382)83% (330/398)
Expected goals (xG)
2.492.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.892.13
Total shots
2224
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
109
Blocked shots
98
Shots inside the box
1519
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
513
Touches in opposition box
3942
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free kicks
614
Passes
79% (300/382)83% (330/398)
Long passes
34% (16/47)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
58% (69/118)66% (71/107)
Crosses
65% (13/20)37% (10/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.712.62
Throw ins
1213
Fouls
146
Tackles
50% (9/18)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5044
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
52
xGOT faced
2.130.89
Goals prevented
0.13-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Rijkhoff J. , Kadile J. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Cooper-Love J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Rijkhoff J. , Jacobs Ja. ,
  • 62', Poku E. , Burgering B. ,
  • 65', Griffith I. , Seedorf C. ,
  • 76', Kadile J. , de Nijs O. ,
  • 76', Druijf F. , Providence R. ,
  • 83', Jansen K. , El Meliani R. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Nisbet J. ,
  • 90+1', Kalisvaart J. , Jacobs Jo. ,
  • 90+2', van den Hurk A. , Foss J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almere City
54.6%
Draw
22.3%
Roda
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 22.5% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 21.8% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Roda aligns with the current prediction.
  • Almere City - Roda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.74)
    4.16
    (4.14)
    4.04
    (3.92)
    7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Almere City - Roda?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Almere City (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Almere City (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Almere City (1.89) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Almere City will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almere City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 3.
    • Almere City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Roda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Almere City is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Almere City will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Roda were as follows:
    20.10.2025 Roda - Almere City 2:0
    24.02.2023 Roda - Almere City 0:2
    30.09.2022 Almere City - Roda 2:1
    Latest results of Almere City
    14.01.2026 Almere City - Telstar 1:3
    20.12.2025 Almere City - Emmen 4:2
    Latest results of Roda
    26.01.2026 Roda - VVV-Venlo 2:2
    23.01.2026 Roda - FC Oss 1:2
    19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2
    14.01.2026 Schalke U23 - Roda 7:3
    22.12.2025 Jong Utrecht - Roda 1:3
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 33252674:324277
    2Cambuur32217466:372970
    3Willem II32158950:381253
    4De Graafschap321571059:51852
    5Almere City331641368:531552
    6Jong PSV331551362:58450
    7Waalwijk331391156:50648
    8Roda331212951:48348
    9Den Bosch331371358:59-146
    10Dordrecht3311101244:46-243
    11Eindhoven FC321241646:57-1140
    12Jong Utrecht331091451:55-439
    13Venlo331151741:51-1038
    14FC Emmen311071448:56-837
    15Vitesse331391151:49236
    16Maastricht33991539:66-2736
    17Jong AZ331041957:66-934
    18Helmond33971738:57-1934
    19Jong Ajax33881745:59-1432
    20Oss337111541:57-1632

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie