Result
1:2
30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 25
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 2.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (300/382) | 83% (330/398) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 2.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (300/382) | 83% (330/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (16/47) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (69/118) | 66% (71/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 37% (10/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 2.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 40', 1 - 0, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Kadile J. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Cooper-Love J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
- 62', Poku E. ↓, Burgering B. ↑,
- 65', Griffith I. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
- 76', Kadile J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 76', Druijf F. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 83', Jansen K. ↓, El Meliani R. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Nisbet J. ⚽,
- 90+1', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
- 90+2', van den Hurk A. ↓, Foss J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almere City
54.6% | Draw
22.3% | Roda
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)The ML Model estimate for Roda aligns with the current prediction.
Almere City - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.74) |
4.16 ↑
(4.14) |
4.04 ↑
(3.92) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Almere City - Roda?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Almere City (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Almere City (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Almere City (1.89) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Almere City will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almere City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 13 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 3.
- Almere City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Roda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Almere City is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
- We predict that Almere City will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Roda?
Almere City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Almere City?
Roda has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Roda were as follows:
20.10.2025
Roda
-
Almere City
2:0
24.02.2023
Roda
-
Almere City
0:2
30.09.2022
Almere City
-
Roda
2:1
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
