Almere City vs Telstar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
14/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KNVB Beker - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almere City
32.7%
Draw
26.1%
Telstar
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 27.1% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 25.9% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Telstar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Telstar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Almere City - Telstar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.5)
    3.57
    (3.45)
    2.26
    (2.64)
    7.4%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Almere City - Telstar?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Telstar will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 50%). Telstar (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
    • Almere City is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Telstar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Telstar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Telstar has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Telstar: Owusu T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Telstar were as follows:
    27.01.2023 Telstar - Almere City 0:1
    09.09.2022 Almere City - Telstar 0:1
    Latest results of Almere City
    20.12.2025 Almere City - Emmen 4:2
    12.12.2025 Jong PSV - Almere City 2:3
    05.12.2025 Almere City - Jong Ajax 3:2
    29.11.2025 FC Oss - Almere City 1:2
    Latest results of Telstar
    11.01.2026 Telstar - Ajax 2:3
    05.01.2026 Málaga - Telstar Canceled
    05.01.2026 Marbella - Telstar Canceled
    20.12.2025 NAC Breda - Telstar 0:1
    16.12.2025 HSV Hoek - Telstar 1:4
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1HelmondBye
    4ByeZwolle
    8ByeAZ Alkmaar
    9AalsmeerHZVV Hoogeveen2 : 4
    10ByeExcelsior Maassluis
    12ByeExcelsior
    16ByeAjax
    17WalcherenNoordwijk1 : 3
    18ByeHardenberg
    20ByeOss
    24ByeUtrecht
    25USV HerculesGOES4 : 0
    26ByeSpakenburg
    27ErpVV DOVO0 : 4
    28TECSV Poortugaal3 : 2
    29RaalteHVV Hollandia4 : 1
    30SteDoCoDVS '33 Ermelo0 : 2
    32ByeTwente
    33SV JulianaMeerssen0 : 2
    34GemertHuizen2 : 1
    36ByeSittard
    37Harkemase BoysSparta Nijkerk0 : 1
    38KloetingeDVO3 : 0
    40ByeAlmere City
    41HoekRijnvogels6 : 4
    42Blauw GeelVVOG2 : 1
    44ByeEindhoven FC
    45LisseWestlandia1 : 0
    46VV ZwaluwenUrk1 : 2
    48ByeTelstar
    49VVSBCapelle1 : 2
    50ScheveningenStaphorst2 : 0
    52ByeRoda
    56ByeG.A. Eagles
    57NAC BredaBye
    60ByeHeracles
    61De ForestersVV Scherpenzeel2 : 3
    62HoogeveenVelocitas6 : 1
    64ByeFC Emmen
    65TOGBUDI'191 : 3
    66SportlustSportclub 254 : 1
    67Kozakken BoysKampong4 : 0
    68ByeBarendrecht
    69De TreffersBye
    70ByeRKAV Volendam
    72ByeMaastricht
    73EemdijkDongen4 : 0
    74EmmenExcelsior 312 : 5
    76ByeAFC
    77Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    80ByeNijmegen
    81Willem IIBye
    84ByeDordrecht
    85Sparta RotterdamBye
    88ByeGroningen
    89Quick BoysBye
    92ByeFC Volendam
    93HeinoGroene Ster3 : 4
    94IJsselmeervogelsGenemuiden0 : 1
    95HalsterenACV Assen3 : 1
    96AWCASWH0 : 2
    97Den BoschBye
    100ByeDen Haag
    101KatwijkBye
    104ByeVitesse
    105PSVBye
    109ADO 20 HeemskerkRoosendaal0 : 2
    110ByeGVVV
    112ByeDe Graafschap
    113FeyenoordBye
    117VenloBye
    120ByeHeerenveen
    121Olde VesteHSC '210 : 3
    122't ZandMierlo-Hout4 : 2
    123HFCBye
    124UNAARC1 : 2
    125WaalwijkBye
    128ByeCambuur

    1/64-finals
    1HelmondBye
    2ByeZwolle
    4ByeAZ Alkmaar
    5HZVV HoogeveenExcelsior Maassluis1 : 5
    6ByeExcelsior
    8ByeAjax
    9NoordwijkHardenberg0 : 2
    10ByeOss
    12ByeUtrecht
    13USV HerculesSpakenburg1 : 3
    14VV DOVOTEC1 : 0
    15RaalteDVS '33 Ermelo1 : 0
    16ByeTwente
    17MeerssenGemert0 : 1
    18ByeSittard
    19Sparta NijkerkKloetinge4 : 3
    20ByeAlmere City
    21HoekBlauw Geel1 : 0
    22ByeEindhoven FC
    23LisseUrk4 : 1
    24ByeTelstar
    25CapelleScheveningen5 : 1
    26ByeRoda
    28ByeG.A. Eagles
    29NAC BredaBye
    30ByeHeracles
    31VV ScherpenzeelHoogeveen3 : 4
    32ByeFC Emmen
    33UDI'19Sportlust0 : 1
    34Kozakken BoysBarendrecht2 : 3
    35De TreffersRKAV Volendam6 : 3
    36ByeMaastricht
    37EemdijkExcelsior 312 : 1
    38ByeAFC
    39Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    40ByeNijmegen
    41Willem IIBye
    42ByeDordrecht
    43Sparta RotterdamBye
    44ByeGroningen
    45Quick BoysBye
    46ByeFC Volendam
    47Groene SterGenemuiden1 : 2
    48HalsterenASWH3 : 2
    49Den BoschBye
    50ByeDen Haag
    51KatwijkBye
    52ByeVitesse
    53PSVBye
    55RoosendaalGVVV0 : 1
    56ByeDe Graafschap
    57FeyenoordBye
    59VenloBye
    60ByeHeerenveen
    61HSC '21't Zand3 : 1
    62HFCARC5 : 0
    63WaalwijkBye
    64ByeCambuur

    1/32-finals
    1HelmondZwolle1 : 4
    2ByeAZ Alkmaar
    3Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior1 : 0
    4ByeAjax
    5HardenbergOss0 : 2
    6ByeUtrecht
    7SpakenburgVV DOVO5 : 1
    8RaalteTwente1 : 4
    9GemertSittard0 : 1
    10Sparta NijkerkAlmere City0 : 2
    11HoekEindhoven FC3 : 2
    12LisseTelstar0 : 5
    13CapelleRoda1 : 5
    14ByeG.A. Eagles
    15NAC BredaHeracles1 : 4
    16HoogeveenFC Emmen1 : 0
    17SportlustBarendrecht1 : 0
    18De TreffersMaastricht3 : 1
    19EemdijkAFC1 : 2
    20Rijnsburgse BoysNijmegen2 : 3
    21Willem IIDordrecht7 : 0
    22Sparta RotterdamGroningen5 : 2
    23Quick BoysFC Volendam1 : 2
    24GenemuidenHalsteren1 : 0
    25Den BoschDen Haag4 : 3
    26KatwijkVitesse2 : 1
    27PSVBye
    28GVVVDe Graafschap4 : 2
    29FeyenoordBye
    30VenloHeerenveen0 : 3
    31HSC '21HFC3 : 0
    32WaalwijkCambuur3 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ZwolleAZ Alkmaar1 : 3
    2Excelsior MaassluisAjax2 : 7
    3OssUtrecht0 : 2
    4SpakenburgTwente3 : 6
    5SittardAlmere City2 : 3
    6HoekTelstar1 : 4
    7RodaG.A. Eagles1 : 2
    8HeraclesHoogeveen4 : 1
    9SportlustDe Treffers0 : 1
    10AFCNijmegen1 : 3
    11Willem IISparta Rotterdam1 : 5
    12FC VolendamGenemuiden2 : 0
    13Den BoschKatwijk2 : 1
    14PSVGVVV3 : 0
    15FeyenoordHeerenveen2 : 3
    16HSC '21Waalwijk0 : 9

    1/8-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarAjax6 : 0
    2UtrechtTwente1 : 2
    3Almere CityTelstar1 : 3
    4G.A. EaglesHeracles3 : 2
    5De TreffersNijmegen1 : 2
    6Sparta RotterdamFC Volendam1 : 2
    7Den BoschPSV1 : 4
    8HeerenveenWaalwijk3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarTwente2 : 1
    2TelstarG.A. Eagles2 : 1
    3NijmegenFC Volendam1 : 0
    4PSVHeerenveen4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarTelstar
    2NijmegenPSV

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2