Waalwijk vs Almere City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 4
  • Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.21
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (273/346)84% (420/501)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.66
Total shots
139
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1117
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
129
Passes
79% (273/346)84% (420/501)
Long passes
52% (34/66)56% (34/61)
Passes in final third
72% (81/113)68% (92/135)
Crosses
20% (3/15)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.72
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
912
Tackles
74% (14/19)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4731
Clearances
2416
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.661.19
Goals prevented
0.66-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Weidmann D. , Lokesa C. (A),
  • 39', Lokesa C. , Witteveen M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Burgering B. , Poku E. ,
  • 46', Kadile J. , Providence R. ,
  • 46', Lawrence J. , Bijleveld T. ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Kuijpers R. , Roemeratoe G. (A),
  • 58', Wouters L. , Familia-Castillo J. ,
  • 67', Weidmann D. , Kuster H. ,
  • 68', van der Venne R. , van Hedel R. ,
  • 68', Kuijpers R. , Postma L. ,
  • 75', Rijkhoff J. , Huisman B. ,
  • 75', el Dahri H. , de Haan M. ,
  • 90+2', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
34.4%
Draw
26.4%
Almere City
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 26.1% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 26.5% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Waalwijk - Almere City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.69)
    3.53
    (3.6)
    2.38
    (2.41)
    7.1%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Almere City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Waalwijk (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Almere City (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 50%). Almere City (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
    • Waalwijk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Almere City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Almere City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Waalwijk has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: Schaapman M. (Knee Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Almere City were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Almere City - Waalwijk 1:4
    03.11.2024 Waalwijk - Almere City 2:0
    03.08.2024 Almere City - Waalwijk 1:0
    04.04.2024 Waalwijk - Almere City 0:0
    07.10.2023 Almere City - Waalwijk 1:0
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    22.08.2025 FC Eindhoven - Waalwijk 1:0
    15.08.2025 Waalwijk - Helmond Sport 1:1
    11.08.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk 2:3
    02.08.2025 Heracles Almelo - Waalwijk 3:1
    30.07.2025 Twente - Waalwijk 1:0
    Latest results of Almere City
    22.08.2025 Almere City - Willem II 0:1
    17.08.2025 Emmen - Almere City 1:4
    19.07.2025 Almere City - Umm-Salal 5:2
    12.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:2
    03.07.2025 Heerenveen - Almere City 4:5
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

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