Espanyol vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Espanyol - Almería
Result
3:3
04/06/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Grado C. S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
greeceGreeceNova Sports
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomViaplay

Chances of winning


Espanyol
38.2%
Draw
26%
Almería
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28% 24% 48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 23.5% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espanyol's performance.
  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almería might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espanyol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Espanyol - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (3.39)
    3.65
    (3.94)
    2.64
    (1.97)
    5.5%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Espanyol - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 18 - 39.1%). Almería will win (votes: 17 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 23.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 25%53.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Espanyol has the most likely position - 19 (87.71%), project points - 38, currently - 36, already of relegated.
    • Almería has the most likely position - 17 (22.86%), project points - 41, currently - 40, a chance of relegated (18%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 58, importance 41, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Almería could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Espanyol: Gomez S. (Muscle Injury) Gori (Injury) Pedrosa A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Almería: Kaiky (Muscle Injury) Leo Baptistao (Achilles Tendon Injury) Suarez L. (Red Card) Svidersky M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Chumi (Knee Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Espanyol won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Espanyol - Almería were as follows:
    27.01.2023 Almería - Espanyol 3:1
    Latest results of Espanyol
    28.05.2023 Valencia - Espanyol 2:2
    21.05.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 1:2
    14.05.2023 Espanyol - Barcelona 2:4
    04.05.2023 Sevilla - Espanyol 3:2
    Latest results of Almería
    28.05.2023 Almería - Valladolid 0:0
    23.05.2023 Real Sociedad - Almería 1:0
    20.05.2023 Almería - Mallorca 3:0
    13.05.2023 Osasuna - Almería 3:1
    02.05.2023 Almería - Elche 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2