Málaga vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.59
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
77% (225/294)85% (425/499)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.59
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.67
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
2417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
820
Passes
77% (225/294)85% (425/499)
Long passes
46% (26/57)56% (35/63)
Passes in final third
65% (49/75)76% (87/115)
Crosses
0% (0/5)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.58
Throw-ins
2824
Fouls
208
Tackles
71% (12/17)67% (14/21)
Duels won
3962
Clearances
1912
Interceptions
1413
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.672.04
Goals prevented
0.670.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 27', Chirino D. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Lorenzo D. ⚽, Chupe (A),
  • 36', Merino I. 🟨,
  • 41', Murillo D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Munoz A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
  • 46', Hernandez A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
  • 64', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
  • 66', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Arribas S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Munoz J. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
  • 74', Merino I. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
  • 75', Thalys ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
  • 76', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 79', Arribas S. ↓, Dzodic S. ↑,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Chupe ⚽,
  • 81', Chupe 🟨,
  • 83', Larrubia D. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
  • 83', Chupe ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
  • 90', Puga C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Garcia V. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/456v5566

Chances of winning


Málaga
32.5%		Draw
29.1%		Almería
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 30.8% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 31.4% 42.2%

Málaga - Almería Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.9 ↓
(3.4)		 3.22 ↑
(3.07)		 2.45 ↑
(2.28)		 6.4%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Málaga - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Almería will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 27.4% – 68.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 2.
    • Málaga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Almería's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Málaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Dorrio J. (Muscle Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Juanpe (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Almería: Bonini F. (Hamstring Injury) Melamed N. (Muscle Injury) Robertone L. (Muscle Injury) Soko P. (International duty)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Almería were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Almería - Málaga 1:2
    01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2
    08.12.2024 Málaga - Almería 1:1
    27.07.2024 Málaga - Almería 0:1
    27.07.2023 Almería - Málaga 0:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    14.12.2025 Albacete Balompié - Málaga 1:3 ✺
    08.12.2025 Málaga - Zaragoza 1:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Talavera de la Reina - Málaga 2:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Valladolid - Málaga 1:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Málaga - Mirandés 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Almería
    14.12.2025 Almería - Burgos 1:2 ✺
    06.12.2025 FC Andorra - Almería 1:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Eldense - Almería 2:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Almería - Huesca 0:0 ✺
    26.11.2025 Ceuta - Almería 3:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander22125549:321741
    2Castellon22115636:251138
    3Las Palmas22108427:171038
    4Dep. La Coruna22107537:251237
    5Almeria22106641:32936
    6Malaga22105732:26635
    7Burgos CF22105726:20635
    8Cadiz CF2297625:24134
    9Gijon22103930:31-133
    10Cordoba2288627:25232
    11Ceuta2295825:29-432
    12Valladolid2277824:23128
    13Andorra2277825:30-528
    14Albacete2276927:34-727
    15Leganes2268823:23026
    16Eibar2267923:26-325
    17Cultural Leonesa22741124:34-1025
    18Real Sociedad B22661029:31-224
    19Granada CF22411723:27-423
    20Huesca22651120:31-1123
    21Zaragoza22561121:35-1421
    22Mirandes22451323:37-1417

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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