Rayo Vallecano vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
05/05/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 34
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Max
greeceGreeceNova Sports
polandPolandCanal+ Sport 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.44
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
277
Shots on Goal
102
Shots off Goal
124
Blocked Shots
51
Free Kicks
1320
Corner Kicks
92
Offsides
31
Throw-ins
3216
Goalkeeper Saves
110
Fouls
1715
Yellow Cards
32
Attacks
15374
Dangerous Attacks
10017

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Falcao R. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Lozano C. , Embarba A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Palazon I. , de Frutos J. ,
  • 59', Falcao R. , Nteka R. ,
  • 66', Lopez U. , de Tomas R. ,
  • 72', Leo Baptistao , Pozo A. ,
  • 75', Lozano C. , Suarez L. ,
  • 79', Pena M. 🟨,
  • 80', Garcia A. , Bebe ,
  • 80', Balliu I. , Crespo M. ,
  • 82', Mumin A. 🟨,
  • 82', Arribas S. , Baba I. ,
  • 83', Gonzalez E. , Melero G. ,
  • 90+1', Trejo O. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Montes C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
60.4%
Draw
23.1%
Almería
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 23.1% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 22.7% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Rayo Vallecano - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.59)
    4.19
    (4.1)
    5.79
    (5.54)
    3.8%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.66%98.76%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
    • Almería is Relegated to LaLiga2
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 3.
    • Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Almería is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Rayo Vallecano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (Yellow Cards) Mendez D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Almería: Radovanovic A. (Muscle Injury) Robertone L. (Yellow Cards) Viera J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Suarez L. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Almería were as follows:
    11.08.2023 Almería - Rayo Vallecano 0:2
    06.02.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Almería 2:0
    08.10.2022 Almería - Rayo Vallecano 3:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    20.04.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 2:1
    13.04.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Getafe 0:0
    17.03.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Betis 2:0
    Latest results of Almería
    27.04.2024 Almería - Getafe 1:3
    21.04.2024 Almería - Villarreal 1:2
    14.04.2024 Real Sociedad - Almería 2:2
    30.03.2024 Almería - Osasuna 0:3
    17.03.2024 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 29241478:285073
    2Real Madrid29223463:263769
    3Villarreal29184754:342058
    4Atl. Madrid29176649:282157
    5Betis291111744:37744
    6Celta Vigo291011841:35641
    7Real Sociedad291081144:45-138
    8Getafe291151325:31-638
    9Ath Bilbao291151332:41-938
    10Osasuna291071234:35-137
    11Espanyol291071236:44-837
    12Valencia29981232:42-1035
    13Girona298101131:44-1334
    14Rayo Vallecano297111128:35-732
    15Sevilla29871437:49-1231
    16Alaves29871430:41-1131
    17Elche296111238:46-829
    18Mallorca29771534:47-1328
    19Levante29681534:48-1426
    20Oviedo29491620:48-2821

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )