Result
1:0
08/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Uriburu R. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Porto J. ↓, Curcio N. ↑,
- 61', Astina M. 🟨,
- 67', Cenci B. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
- 67', Cardozo E. ↓, Escurra J. ↑,
- 70', Tello F. ↓, Pardo I. ↑,
- 74', Iglesias L. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 0, Escurra J. ⚽,
- 77', Escurra J. 🟨,
- 80', Britez E. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
- 80', Astina M. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 81', Flores G. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
- 90', Almada T. ↓, Quinteros T. ↑,
- 90', Iglesias L. ↓, Escalante L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almirante Brown
39.1% | Draw
33.7% | San Telmo
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Almirante Brown - San Telmo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.16) |
2.76 ↓
(2.9) |
3.47 ↓
(3.58) |
7.2%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Almirante Brown - San Telmo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Almirante Brown (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- San Telmo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Almirante Brown will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 0.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Almirante Brown won against San Telmo?
Almirante Brown has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Almirante Brown?
San Telmo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almirante Brown - San Telmo were as follows:
03.05.2025
San Telmo
-
Almirante Brown
0:1
05.10.2024
San Telmo
-
Almirante Brown
0:1
20.05.2024
Almirante Brown
-
San Telmo
0:0
10.06.2023
San Telmo
-
Almirante Brown
3:1
05.02.2023
Almirante Brown
-
San Telmo
1:0
Latest results of Almirante Brown
Latest results of San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 55 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 33 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 49 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 49 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 32:22 | 10 | 48 |
| 6 | Patronato | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin T | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 45 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 23:25 | -2 | 41 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 41 |
| 11 | Los Andes | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:27 | 1 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 13 | All Boys | 32 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferro | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 35 |
| 15 | Club A. Guemes | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 34 |
| 16 | Almagro | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 24:30 | -6 | 34 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 18:28 | -10 | 32 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 59 |
| 2 | CA Estudiantes | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 40:21 | 19 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 33:25 | 8 | 52 |
| 7 | Agropecuario | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 41:34 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Temperley | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Chacarita Juniors | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 48 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 48 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 27:30 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 26:39 | -13 | 36 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 21:39 | -18 | 29 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) ✔ | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 16:38 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos ✔ | 32 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to
