Alpendorada vs Anadia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
54
Total shots
166
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 78', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Alpendorada
47.9%
Draw
29.4%
Anadia
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 24.6% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alpendorada's form might have worsened.
  • Anadia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alpendorada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anadia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anadia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alpendorada - Anadia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.6)
    3.08
    (3.5)
    3.99
    (5)
    10.4%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • Alpendorada is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Anadia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Anadia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alpendorada is considered a favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alpendorada
    22.11.2025 Alpendorada - Casa Pia 0:3
    09.11.2025 Gouveia - Alpendorada 0:3
    02.11.2025 Alpendorada - União Lamas 2:1
    26.10.2025 Vila Meã - Alpendorada 0:0
    Latest results of Anadia
    09.11.2025 Anadia - Cinfães 2:1
    02.11.2025 Florgrade - Anadia 2:1
    26.10.2025 Anadia - Leça 1:3
    19.10.2025 Anadia - Marinhense 0:1
    05.10.2025 Vila Real - Anadia 1:1