Alpendorada vs Beira-Mar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
65
Total shots
74
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 74', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Alpendorada
32.2%
Draw
32.7%
Beira-Mar
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 31.6% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 31.4% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alpendorada's form might have worsened.
  • Beira-Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beira-Mar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alpendorada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beira-Mar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alpendorada - Beira-Mar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.3)
    2.76
    (2.86)
    2.56
    (3.12)
    11%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 9).
    • Alpendorada is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Beira-Mar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Alpendorada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alpendorada - Beira-Mar were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Beira-Mar - Alpendorada 1:1
    13.04.2025 Alpendorada - Beira-Mar 1:2
    05.01.2025 Beira-Mar - Alpendorada 2:0
    29.01.2023 Beira-Mar - Alpendorada 2:1
    09.10.2022 Alpendorada - Beira-Mar 0:4
    Latest results of Alpendorada
    22.03.2026 Anadia - Alpendorada 0:3
    15.03.2026 Alpendorada - Gouveia 1:0
    08.03.2026 União Lamas - Alpendorada 1:0
    01.03.2026 Alpendorada - Vila Meã 3:2
    22.02.2026 Alpendorada - Cinfães 0:0
    Latest results of Beira-Mar
    22.03.2026 Beira-Mar - Cinfães 1:1
    15.03.2026 Florgrade - Beira-Mar 1:0
    08.03.2026 Beira-Mar - Leça 1:1
    01.03.2026 Vila Real - Beira-Mar 2:1
    22.02.2026 Beira-Mar - Rebordosa 1:3