Guarda FC vs Alpendorada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal Guarda FC - Alpendorada
Result
0:1
09/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Guarda FC
38.7%
Draw
31.1%
Alpendorada
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 29.2% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 28.7% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarda FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda FC's form might have worsened.
  • Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alpendorada's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda FC than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alpendorada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guarda FC - Alpendorada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (1.82)
    2.95
    (3.1)
    3.04
    (4.31)
    9%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 7).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Guarda is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarda FC - Alpendorada were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Alpendorada - Guarda FC 0:1
    Latest results of Guarda FC
    03.03.2025 Guarda FC - Salgueiros 08 1:2
    23.02.2025 União Lamas - Guarda FC 0:1
    16.02.2025 Guarda FC - Gondomar 1:1
    09.02.2025 Marítimo B - Guarda FC 1:3
    02.02.2025 Guarda FC - Cinfães 0:0
    Latest results of Alpendorada
    02.03.2025 Alpendorada - Marco 09 0:1
    16.02.2025 Alpendorada - Camacha 3:1
    09.02.2025 União Lamas - Alpendorada 0:0
    02.02.2025 Alpendorada - Régua 3:1