Alpendorada vs União Lamas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
33
Total shots
123
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 90+2', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Alpendorada
52.2%
Draw
28.6%
União Lamas
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 32.4% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 31.5% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alpendorada's performance.
  • União Lamas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União Lamas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alpendorada that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Lamas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União Lamas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alpendorada - União Lamas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.22)
    3.2
    (2.8)
    4.78
    (3.39)
    9.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 5)
    • Alpendorada is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, União Lamas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • União Lamas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, União Lamas has had a series of home games.
    • Alpendorada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alpendorada - União Lamas were as follows:
    09.02.2025 União Lamas - Alpendorada 0:0
    29.09.2024 Alpendorada - União Lamas 2:2
    Latest results of Alpendorada
    26.10.2025 Vila Meã - Alpendorada 0:0
    04.10.2025 Cinfães - Alpendorada 0:0
    28.09.2025 Alpendorada - Florgrade 3:1
    14.09.2025 Leça - Alpendorada 0:0
    Latest results of União Lamas