Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Iran Pro League Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Result
1:1
20/01/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 16

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kazemian A. , Noori A. (A),
  • 16', Kazemian A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Shahbazzadeh S. , Bifouma T. (A),
  • 65', Ghanbari A. 🟨,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 73', Gharari E. , Vatandoust A. ,

Chances of winning


Aluminium Arak
40.7%
Draw
35.1%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 30.9% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 29.4% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aluminium Arak's form might have worsened.
  • Esteghlal Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aluminium Arak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal Khuzestan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.92)
    2.55
    (2.9)
    3.69
    (3.95)
    11.9%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal Khuzestan?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aluminium Arak will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Esteghlal Khuzestan will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 11).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Aluminium Arak will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aluminium Arak won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aluminium Arak won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal Khuzestan were as follows:
    15.08.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan - Aluminium Arak 0:0
    21.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan - Aluminium Arak 3:2
    15.08.2023 Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal Khuzestan 1:0
    Latest results of Aluminium Arak
    Latest results of Esteghlal Khuzestan
    Iran Pro League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tractor30215457:193868
    2Sepahan301612248:212760
    3Persepolis30186642:202260
    4Foolad30158736:30653
    5Gol Gohar301211723:16747
    6Zob Ahan301012832:28442
    7Malavan301091133:33039
    8Aluminium Arak30714930:31-135
    9Esteghlal F.C307131030:33-334
    10Chadormalu308101222:28-634
    11Kheybar Khorramabad30891324:31-733
    12Esteghlal Khuzestan306131119:30-1131
    13Shams Azar Qazvin30781523:41-1829
    14Mes Rafsanjan306101424:38-1428
    15Nassaji Mazandaran303141315:28-1323
    16Havadar SC304101617:48-3122

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