Alvarado vs San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Alvarado - San Miguel
Result
0:0
13/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
1210
Corner Kicks
48
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Irazoque A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Aleo A. , Susvielles J. ,
  • 64', Salto C. 🟨,
  • 66', Salto C. , Ferrero J. ,
  • 71', Nasta B. , Mosca C. ,
  • 83', Bolzicco T. , Miori M. ,
  • 83', Martinez E. , Russo F. ,
  • 83', Corda S. , Grance I. ,
  • 83', Sena F. , Rojas M. ,

Chances of winning


Alvarado
22.2%
Draw
33.9%
San Miguel
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 29.6% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 29.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alvarado - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (2.9)
    2.75
    (3.15)
    2.11
    (2.43)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Alvarado - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Miguel: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by Alvarado have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Miguel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - San Miguel were as follows:
    09.03.2025 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0
    14.09.2024 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0
    28.04.2024 Alvarado - San Miguel 1:0
    Latest results of Alvarado
    06.07.2025 Quilmes - Alvarado Postponed
    15.06.2025 Alvarado - Colegiales 1:0
    06.06.2025 Los Andes - Alvarado 1:0
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin T24109522:16639
    2Atletico Atlanta23109421:15639
    3Deportivo Madryn23910427:19837
    4Gimnasia y Tiro2499622:14836
    5San Miguel2399522:15736
    6Tristan Suarez24812421:16536
    7Patronato2498727:23435
    8Deportivo Maipu2388722:21132
    9Racing Cordoba2379729:30-130
    10Colegiales24861014:19-530
    11Los Andes24771023:24-128
    12Quilmes2269722:20227
    13Almagro2469917:21-427
    14All Boys24511819:21-226
    15Ferro2368915:22-726
    16Club A. Guemes23413619:22-325
    17Alvarado2249913:22-921
    18Arsenal Sarandi23391118:33-1518


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chacarita Juniors24127532:171543
    2Gimnasia Jujuy231110224:111343
    3Gimnasia Mendoza221010222:111140
    4Deportivo Moron23109425:131239
    5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto23911323:14938
    6Temperley23108522:17538
    7Chaco For Ever23114825:18737
    8CA Estudiantes24106823:18536
    9CA Mitre2387817:16131
    10Agropecuario2387826:27-131
    11Def. de Belgrano2379718:17130
    12Nueva Chicago2378821:21029
    13Colon Santa Fe23831220:25-527
    14San Telmo2369820:26-627
    15Central Norte23741220:29-925
    16Almirante Brown23491016:26-1021
    17Talleres (R.E)2425179:28-1911
    18Defensores Unidos2318149:38-2911

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation