Alvarado vs San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata).

Primera Nacional - Round 22

Match Stats


Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
4	5
Corner Kicks
4	8
Yellow Cards
1	1
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
12	10
Corner Kicks
4	8
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Irazoque A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aleo A. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
64', Salto C. 🟨,
66', Salto C. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
71', Nasta B. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
83', Bolzicco T. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
83', Martinez E. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
83', Corda S. ↓, Grance I. ↑,
83', Sena F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Alvarado
22.2%

Draw
33.9%

San Miguel
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

29.3%

38.7%

Alvarado - San Miguel Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (2.9)	2.75 ↓ (3.15)	2.11 ↓ (2.43)	7.9% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

What is the prediction for Alvarado - San Miguel?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Miguel: 47.7% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Recent performances by Alvarado have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Miguel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against San Miguel?

Alvarado has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Alvarado?

San Miguel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - San Miguel were as follows:

09.03.2025 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0

14.09.2024 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0

28.04.2024 Alvarado - San Miguel 1:0

Latest results of Alvarado

29.06.2025 Alvarado - Racing de Córdoba 0:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Atlanta Buenos Aires - Alvarado 0:2 ✺

15.06.2025 Alvarado - Colegiales 1:0 ✺

06.06.2025 Los Andes - Alvarado 1:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Alvarado - Arsenal Sarandí 0:2 ✺

Latest results of San Miguel

05.07.2025 San Miguel - Deportivo Madryn 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Deportivo Maipú - San Miguel 0:1 ✺

21.06.2025 San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro 1:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Tristán Suárez - San Miguel 0:0 ✺

31.05.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - San Miguel 0:1 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

2026

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colon Santa Fe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Godoy Cruz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	All Boys	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Ferro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Los Andes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Acassuso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Almirante Brown	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	CA Estudiantes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Def. de Belgrano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Deportivo Moron	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	San Telmo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Racing Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	San Miguel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Central Norte	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Deportivo Madryn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Chaco For Ever	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	CA Mitre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Ciudad Bolivar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	San Martin S.J	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Nueva Chicago	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Quilmes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	San Martin T	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Chacarita Juniors	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Almagro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Atl. Rafaela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Patronato	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Atletico Atlanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Colegiales	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Temperley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Tristan Suarez	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Midland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Club A. Guemes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Gimnasia y Tiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Deportivo Maipu	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Agropecuario	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation