Result
0:0
13/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Irazoque A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aleo A. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
- 64', Salto C. 🟨,
- 66', Salto C. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
- 71', Nasta B. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
- 83', Bolzicco T. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
- 83', Martinez E. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
- 83', Corda S. ↓, Grance I. ↑,
- 83', Sena F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alvarado
22.2% | Draw
33.9% | San Miguel
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alvarado - San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.14 ↑
(2.9) |
2.75 ↓
(3.15) |
2.11 ↓
(2.43) |
7.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Alvarado - San Miguel?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Miguel: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by Alvarado have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Miguel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against San Miguel?
Alvarado has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Alvarado?
San Miguel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - San Miguel were as follows:
09.03.2025
San Miguel
-
Alvarado
2:0
14.09.2024
San Miguel
-
Alvarado
2:0
28.04.2024
Alvarado
-
San Miguel
1:0
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Racing Cordoba | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Def. de Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Acassuso | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Colon Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | All Boys | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Los Andes | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Deportivo Madryn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ciudad Bolivar | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Ferro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | CA Estudiantes | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nueva Chicago | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Atl. Rafaela | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | San Martin T | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Midland | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Temperley | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Atletico Atlanta | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Club A. Guemes | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Patronato | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Almagro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Quilmes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Deportivo Maipu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Colegiales | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
