Result
0:0
13/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Irazoque A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aleo A. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
- 64', Salto C. 🟨,
- 66', Salto C. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
- 71', Nasta B. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
- 83', Bolzicco T. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
- 83', Martinez E. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
- 83', Corda S. ↓, Grance I. ↑,
- 83', Sena F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alvarado
22.2% | Draw
33.9% | San Miguel
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alvarado - San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.14 ↑
(2.9) |
2.75 ↓
(3.15) |
2.11 ↓
(2.43) |
7.9%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Alvarado - San Miguel?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Miguel: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by Alvarado have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Miguel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against San Miguel?
Alvarado has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Alvarado?
San Miguel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - San Miguel were as follows:
09.03.2025
San Miguel
-
Alvarado
2:0
14.09.2024
San Miguel
-
Alvarado
2:0
28.04.2024
Alvarado
-
San Miguel
1:0
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn ✔ | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 60 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta ✔ | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 55 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez ✔ | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 52 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro ✔ | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 34:23 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | San Miguel ✔ | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 50 |
| 6 | San Martin T. ✔ | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 49 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | Patronato ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 26:26 | 0 | 47 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Ferro | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:33 | -9 | 41 |
| 12 | Los Andes | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 28:28 | 0 | 40 |
| 13 | Club A. Guemes | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | All Boys | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Almagro | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi ✔ | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Alvarado ✔ | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 33 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 63 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 35:22 | 13 | 60 |
| 3 | CA Estudiantes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 41:22 | 19 | 59 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 36:19 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Jujuy ✔ | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 36:20 | 16 | 57 |
| 6 | Temperley | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 30:22 | 8 | 55 |
| 7 | Agropecuario | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 43:34 | 9 | 54 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 34:26 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 49 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 30:26 | 4 | 48 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 41 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:31 | -3 | 40 |
| 14 | Almirante Brown | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 36 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 27:41 | -14 | 36 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) ✔ | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 17:40 | -23 | 23 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos ✔ | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 17:52 | -35 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
Alvarado is Relegated to
Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to
