Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 61% (34/56) | 54% (38/70) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 34% (10/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 27% (3/11) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 46% (32/70) | 39% (22/56) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 66% (19/29) | 63% (24/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 50% (8/16) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 58 | 45 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 67% (8/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (48/94) | 49% (48/98) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (50/98) | 49% (46/94) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (98/192) | 49% (94/192) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 43% (6/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 48% (14/29) |
Chances of winning
Facundo Diaz Acosta 61.1% | Alvaro Guillen Meza 38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↑ (1.49) |
|
2.47 ↑ (2.46) |
1.6% (7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guillen Meza (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 Sets - Diaz Acosta (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 2 - 50%). Guillen Meza (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 278. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 205.
- At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
- Diaz Acosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Diaz Acosta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diaz Acosta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Facundo Diaz Acosta won against Alvaro Guillen Meza?
Facundo Diaz Acosta has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvaro Guillen Meza won against Facundo Diaz Acosta?
Alvaro Guillen Meza has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza were as follows:
14.10.2025
Facundo Diaz Acosta
-
Alvaro Guillen Meza
2:0
03.10.2025
Alvaro Guillen Meza
-
Facundo Diaz Acosta
1:2
Latest results of Facundo Diaz Acosta
Latest results of Alvaro Guillen Meza
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Den Ouden G. (RET.) (1) | Dedura D. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | La Serna J. M. (WC) | Aboian V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q) | Ribeiro E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Varillas J. P. | Midon L. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Prado Angelo J. C. (3) | Damas M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Estevez J. (WC) | Sanchez Jover C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Zarate C. M. (WC) | Cadenasso G. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Dutra Da Silva D. | Collarini A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (7) | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Diaz Acosta F. | Schiessl J. E. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Marcondes I. (Alt) | Agamenone F. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Torres J. B. | Bueno G. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Olivieri G. A. (6) | Ambrogi L. E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Sakamoto P. (Alt) | Palosi S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Villanueva G. (Alt) | Justo G. I. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Roncadelli F. | Guillen Meza A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Dedura D. | La Serna J. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Aguilar Cardozo J. (RET.) | Varillas J. P. | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Damas M. | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cadenasso G. | Dutra Da Silva D. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Diaz Acosta F. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marcondes I. | Torres J. B. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Olivieri G. A. (6) | Palosi S. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Justo G. I. | Guillen Meza A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Dedura D. | Varillas J. P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Damas M. | Cadenasso G. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Diaz Acosta F. | Torres J. B. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Palosi S. | Guillen Meza A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dedura D. | Damas M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Diaz Acosta F. | Guillen Meza A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Damas M. | Diaz Acosta F. | 1 : 2 |