Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Alvaro Guillen Meza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
69
1st serve percentage
60%71%
1st serve points won
61% (34/56)54% (38/70)
2nd serve points won
37% (14/38)34% (10/29)
Break Points Saved
50% (8/16)27% (3/11)
1st return points won
46% (32/70)39% (22/56)
2nd return points won
66% (19/29)63% (24/38)
Break Points Converted
73% (8/11)50% (8/16)
Winners
2717
Unforced errors
5845
Net points won
63% (10/16)67% (8/12)
Service Points Won
51% (48/94)49% (48/98)
Return Points Won
51% (50/98)49% (46/94)
Total Points Won
51% (98/192)49% (94/192)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
47% (7/15)43% (6/14)
Return games won
57% (8/14)53% (8/15)
Total games won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Facundo Diaz Acosta
61.1%
Alvaro Guillen Meza
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.49)

    2.47
    (2.46)
    1.6%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guillen Meza (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Diaz Acosta (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 2 - 50%). Guillen Meza (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 278. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 205.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Diaz Acosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Diaz Acosta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diaz Acosta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza were as follows:
    14.10.2025 Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza 2:0
    03.10.2025 Alvaro Guillen Meza - Facundo Diaz Acosta 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (RET.) (1)Dedura D. (Q)0 : 1
    2La Serna J. M. (WC)Aboian V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)Ribeiro E. (Q)2 : 1
    4Varillas J. P.Midon L. (5)2 : 0
    5Prado Angelo J. C. (3)Damas M.0 : 2
    6Estevez J. (WC)Sanchez Jover C.0 : 2
    7Zarate C. M. (WC)Cadenasso G.1 : 2
    8Dutra Da Silva D.Collarini A. (8)2 : 0
    9Rodriguez Taverna S. (7)Sanchez Izquierdo N.0 : 2
    10Diaz Acosta F.Schiessl J. E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Marcondes I. (Alt)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    12Torres J. B.Bueno G. (4)2 : 0
    13Olivieri G. A. (6)Ambrogi L. E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Sakamoto P. (Alt)Palosi S. (Q)0 : 2
    15Villanueva G. (Alt)Justo G. I.0 : 2
    16Roncadelli F.Guillen Meza A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dedura D.La Serna J. M.2 : 0
    2Aguilar Cardozo J. (RET.)Varillas J. P.1 : 1
    3Damas M.Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G.Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 1
    5Sanchez Izquierdo N.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    6Marcondes I.Torres J. B.0 : 2
    7Olivieri G. A. (6)Palosi S.1 : 2
    8Justo G. I.Guillen Meza A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Dedura D.Varillas J. P.2 : 0
    2Damas M.Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    3Diaz Acosta F.Torres J. B.2 : 0
    4Palosi S.Guillen Meza A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dedura D.Damas M.1 : 2
    2Diaz Acosta F.Guillen Meza A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Damas M.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2