Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Miguel Damas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
64
1st serve percentage
62%50%
1st serve points won
66% (35/53)71% (30/42)
2nd serve points won
34% (11/32)50% (21/42)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)67% (6/9)
1st return points won
29% (12/42)34% (18/53)
2nd return points won
50% (21/42)66% (21/32)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)50% (4/8)
Winners
1726
Unforced errors
3747
Net points won
100% (2/2)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
55% (46/84)61% (50/82)
Return Points Won
39% (32/82)45% (38/84)
Total Points Won
47% (78/166)53% (88/166)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
64% (7/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)36% (4/11)
Total games won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Alvaro Guillen Meza
66.3%
Miguel Damas
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Alvaro Guillen Meza - Miguel Damas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.5)

    2.77
    (2.44)
    7.4%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Alvaro Guillen Meza - Miguel Damas?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guillen Meza will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Damas will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guillen Meza: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Damas (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alvaro Guillen Meza will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Guillen Meza (votes: 3 - 60%). Damas (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 205. Damas is ranked ATP: 303.
    • In recent matches, Guillen Meza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Damas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Guillen Meza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Guillen Meza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Boyer T.2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F.Schiessl J. E. (Q)0 : 2
    3Diaz Acosta F. (SE)Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 0
    4Miguel G. (WC)Ficovich J. P. (6)2 : 0
    5Faria J. (3)Cadenasso G.2 : 1
    6Ribeiro E. (Q)Roncadelli F. (Q)2 : 0
    7Marcondes I. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 1
    8Heide G.Galan D. E. (7)2 : 1
    9Rocha H. (5)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    10Sanchez Jover C. (Q)Tobon M. (WC)2 : 1
    11Reis Da Silva J.Soto M.2 : 1
    12Prado Angelo J. C.Den Ouden G. (4)2 : 0
    13Guillen Meza A. (8)Damas M.0 : 2
    14Monteiro T.Dutra Da Silva D. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Torrealba B. (Q)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    16Boscardin Dias P.Moller E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Schiessl J. E.2 : 0
    2Diaz Acosta F.Miguel G.2 : 0
    3Faria J. (3)Ribeiro E.0 : 2
    4Marcondes I.Heide G.1 : 2
    5Rocha H. (5)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    6Reis Da Silva J.Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    7Damas M.Monteiro T.0 : 2
    8Varillas J. P.Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    2Ribeiro E.Heide G.2 : 1
    3Rocha H. (5)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    4Monteiro T.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Ribeiro E.2 : 0
    2Rocha H. (5)Monteiro T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Vallejo D. (1)Rocha H. (5)0 : 2