Result
3:3
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Southern League Premier Central - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Tope ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, Tope ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 2, Blois R. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 2, Fowkes B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 84', 2 - 3, Willis J. ⚽,
- 90+5', 3 - 3, Fraser A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leiston 39.3% | Draw 25.3% | Alvechurch 35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiston's form might have worsened.Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvechurch's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvechurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leiston - Alvechurch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (1.87) |
3.59 ↓ (3.79) |
2.55 ↓ (3.58) |
10.4% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Leiston - Alvechurch?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Alvechurch (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alvechurch (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 2.
- Leiston has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alvechurch is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alvechurch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiston won against Alvechurch?
Leiston has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvechurch won against Leiston?
Alvechurch has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiston - Alvechurch were as follows:
22.03.2025
Alvechurch
-
Leiston
1:1
12.11.2024
Leiston
-
Alvechurch
2:1
24.02.2024
Leiston
-
Alvechurch
2:2
28.11.2023
Alvechurch
-
Leiston
0:2
11.02.2023
Leiston
-
Alvechurch
1:1
Latest results of Leiston
Latest results of Alvechurch
English Southern League Central Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Spalding United | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 87:37 | 50 | 73 |
| 2 | Harborough | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 57:23 | 34 | 69 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 61:35 | 26 | 60 |
| 4 | Quorn | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 68:56 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | Redditch | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 48:46 | 2 | 52 |
| 6 | Halesowen | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 63:47 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Needham Market | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 49:43 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Worcester | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 50:31 | 19 | 50 |
| 9 | Leiston | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 54:44 | 10 | 48 |
| 10 | Banbury | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 48 |
| 11 | Kettering | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:41 | 8 | 45 |
| 12 | Bury Town | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 48:44 | 4 | 45 |
| 13 | Stratford | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42:43 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Bishop's Stortford | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 46:50 | -4 | 42 |
| 15 | Bromsgrove | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 42:60 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Stourbridge | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41:55 | -14 | 33 |
| 17 | Alvechurch | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 | St. Ives | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 39:56 | -17 | 32 |
| 19 | Barwell | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 42:63 | -21 | 32 |
| 20 | Stamford | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 27 |
| 21 | Sudbury | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39:83 | -44 | 22 |
| 22 | Royston | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 30:69 | -39 | 18 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )
Relegation