Leiston vs Alvechurch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Southern League Premier Central - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Tope ,
  • 14', 0 - 2, Tope ,
  • 27', 1 - 2, Blois R. ,
  • 34', 2 - 2, Fowkes B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 84', 2 - 3, Willis J. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Fraser A. ,

Chances of winning


Leiston
39.3%
Draw
25.3%
Alvechurch
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 24.5% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 24.1% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiston's form might have worsened.
  • Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvechurch's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvechurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leiston - Alvechurch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.87)
    3.59
    (3.79)
    2.55
    (3.58)
    10.4%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Leiston - Alvechurch?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Alvechurch (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alvechurch (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 2.
    • Leiston has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alvechurch is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Alvechurch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiston - Alvechurch were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Alvechurch - Leiston 1:1
    12.11.2024 Leiston - Alvechurch 2:1
    24.02.2024 Leiston - Alvechurch 2:2
    28.11.2023 Alvechurch - Leiston 0:2
    11.02.2023 Leiston - Alvechurch 1:1
    Latest results of Leiston
    17.01.2026 Leiston - Stourbridge 0:0
    10.01.2026 Leiston - Kettering Town 4:1
    27.12.2025 Leiston - Needham Market 0:1
    20.12.2025 Halesowen Town - Leiston 1:2
    06.12.2025 Spalding United - Leiston 4:1
    Latest results of Alvechurch
    English Southern League Central Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spalding United33227487:375073
    2Harborough30216357:233469
    3Real Bedford30186661:352660
    4Quorn331661168:561254
    5Redditch321641248:46252
    6Halesowen31149863:471651
    7Needham Market32149949:43651
    8Worcester321481050:311950
    9Leiston321212854:441048
    10Banbury301461042:37548
    11Kettering291361049:41845
    12Bury Town331291248:44445
    13Stratford311261342:43-142
    14Bishop's Stortford321261446:50-442
    15Bromsgrove32971642:60-1834
    16Stourbridge327121341:55-1433
    17Alvechurch30951634:41-732
    18St. Ives32881639:56-1732
    19Barwell33881742:63-2132
    20Stamford30761724:51-2727
    21Sudbury32572039:83-4422
    22Royston33392130:69-3918

          Promotion ~ National League North
          Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )
          Relegation