Alverca B vs Serpa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
62
Total shots
115
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Alverca B
36.9%
Draw
30.8%
Serpa
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 28.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 28.8% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Alverca B - Serpa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.32)
    2.93
    (3.2)
    2.79
    (2.81)
    10.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alverca B
    07.12.2025 Alcochetense - Alverca B 1:2
    29.11.2025 Alverca B - Oriental 3:1
    09.11.2025 Lagoa - Alverca B 1:0
    02.11.2025 Elvas - Alverca B 2:3
    Latest results of Serpa
    07.12.2025 Serpa - Elvas 1:3
    09.11.2025 Serpa - Louletano 0:0
    02.11.2025 Sintrense - Serpa 1:1
    26.10.2025 Serpa - Portimonense B 1:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malveira1997325:16934
    2Juv. Evora1996423:17633
    3Louletano1988320:91132
    4Serpa1986523:23030
    5GD Alcochetense1985625:17829
    6Lagoa1985634:25929
    7Alverca B1884632:27528
    8Sintrense1976620:20027
    9Oriental1968523:25-226
    10O Elvas CAD1974825:23225
    11Moncarapachense1939714:19-518
    12Portimonense B18521116:27-1117
    13Vasco da Gama19110816:35-1913
    14Industria19261116:29-1312

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