Serpa vs Alverca B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 25

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
14
Corner kicks
45
Red cards
01
Total shots
117
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
103
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Serpa
37.3%
Draw
28.2%
Alverca B
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 28.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 28.3% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Alverca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Serpa - Alverca B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.28)
    3.19
    (3.25)
    2.61
    (2.88)
    11%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3).
    • Serpa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alverca B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Alverca B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Alverca B has had a series of home games.
    • Serpa could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Serpa - Alverca B were as follows:
    14.12.2025 Alverca B - Serpa 2:1
    Latest results of Serpa
    04.04.2026 Elvas - Serpa 3:2
    15.03.2026 Louletano - Serpa 2:1
    08.03.2026 Serpa - Sintrense 1:0
    01.03.2026 Portimonense B - Serpa 0:0
    Latest results of Alverca B
    04.04.2026 Alverca B - Alcochetense 0:1
    29.03.2026 Alverca B - Portimonense B 4:0
    22.03.2026 Oriental - Alverca B 1:2
    15.03.2026 Alverca B - Lagoa 2:1
    08.03.2026 Alverca B - Elvas 2:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louletano26148436:152150
    2Malveira26138538:231547
    3Alverca B26145749:321747
    4Juv. Evora261210436:231346
    5GD Alcochetense26118733:221141
    6Sintrense26117830:25540
    7Lagoa26116944:341039
    8O Elvas CAD26971033:29434
    9Serpa26971028:34-634
    10Oriental26711829:35-632
    11Moncarapachense26710921:21031
    12Portimonense B26641619:42-2322
    13Industria26281620:45-2514
    14Vasco da Gama261111420:56-3614

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