Result
1:2
11/03/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 22
Chances of winning
Belenenses
36.8% | Draw
28.9% | Alverca
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belenenses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alverca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Belenenses - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.22) |
3.16 ↓
(3.17) |
2.66 ↓
(3.16) |
9.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Alverca is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
- Belenenses is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Alverca in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Alverca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Alverca?
Belenenses has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Belenenses?
Alverca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Alverca were as follows:
04.12.2022
Alverca
-
Belenenses
1:0
Latest results of Belenenses
Latest results of Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Braga B | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Fafe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
