Belenenses vs Alverca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Belenenses - Alverca
Result
1:2
11/03/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 22

Chances of winning


Belenenses
36.8%
Draw
28.9%
Alverca
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 29.2% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 30.3% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belenenses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alverca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Belenenses - Alverca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.22)
    3.16
    (3.17)
    2.67
    (3.16)
    9.4%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Alverca is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
    • Belenenses is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alverca in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alverca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Alverca were as follows:
    04.12.2022 Alverca - Belenenses 1:0
    Latest results of Belenenses
    05.03.2023 Setúbal - Belenenses 5:2
    19.02.2023 Caldas - Belenenses 0:1
    11.02.2023 Belenenses - Fontinhas 6:0
    Latest results of Alverca
    03.03.2023 Alverca - Real SC 2:1
    12.02.2023 Alverca - Setúbal 2:0
    04.02.2023 Moncarapachense - Alverca 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense31202:025
    5Amarante31113:304
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B31114:314
    7AD Marco 0930300:003
    8Paredes30211:2-12
    9AD Fafe30211:3-22
    10Sao Joao Ver30120:6-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas32013:306
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Mafra31113:5-24
    7Lusitano GC31024:313
    8Atletico CP31022:203
    9Academica31022:3-13
    10Covilha30122:4-21

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
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