Result
2:0
01/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24
- Referee: Lima R. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Carter A. ⚽,
- 32', Beni D. 🟨,
- 38', Pires M. 🟨,
- 40', Pedro Bicalho 🟨,
- 41', Alves K. 🟨,
- 43', Alysson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fale M. ↓, Rochez B. ↑,
- 54', Guilherme ↓, Monteiro V. ↑,
- 54', Martins D. ↓, Shinga K. ↑,
- 68', Carter A. ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
- 68', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
- 68', Brenner ↓, Bukia A. ↑,
- 74', Nibe A. ↓, Lucas Gabriel ↑,
- 82', Andrezinho ↓, Mendonca I. ↑,
- 82', Goncalves V. ↓, Djabi A. ↑,
- 82', Alves K. ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
- 90+2', Lucas Gabriel 🟥,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Joao Marcos (Pen),
- 90+7', Bukia A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alverca 51.3% | Draw 28.3% | Mafra 20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Alverca - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↑ (1.78) |
3.27 ↓ (3.38) |
4.56 ↑ (4.45) |
7.7% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alverca - Mafra?
Users Predictions:
Alverca will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- Alverca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mafra is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Alverca is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Alverca to win the game is with odds 1.76.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Mafra?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Alverca?
Mafra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Mafra were as follows:
06.10.2024
Mafra
-
Alverca
1:1
29.07.2023
Alverca
-
Mafra
3:3
Latest results of Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3