Moncarapachense vs Alverca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Moncarapachense - Alverca
04/02/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Moncarapachense
22.6%
Draw
27.1%
Alverca
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 26.7% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 25.7% 57.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alverca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alverca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Moncarapachense - Alverca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.07
    (5.1)
    3.39
    (3.4)
    1.83
    (1.64)
    8.7%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - Alverca were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Alverca - Moncarapachense 2:0
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Latest results of Alverca
    29.01.2023 Caldas - Alverca 2:1
    29.01.2023 Caldas - Alverca 2:1
    21.01.2023 Fontinhas - Alverca 1:1
    08.01.2023 Leiria - Alverca 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense31202:025
    5Amarante31113:304
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B31114:314
    7AD Marco 0930300:003
    8Paredes30211:2-12
    9AD Fafe30211:3-22
    10Sao Joao Ver30120:6-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas32013:306
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Mafra31113:5-24
    7Lusitano GC31024:313
    8Atletico CP31022:203
    9Academica31022:3-13
    10Covilha30122:4-21

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