Moncarapachense vs Alverca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Moncarapachense - Alverca
04/02/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Moncarapachense
22.6%
Draw
27.1%
Alverca
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 26.7% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 25.7% 57.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alverca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alverca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Moncarapachense - Alverca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.07
    (5.1)
    3.39
    (3.4)
    1.83
    (1.64)
    8.7%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - Alverca were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Alverca - Moncarapachense 2:0
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Latest results of Alverca
    29.01.2023 Caldas - Alverca 2:1
    29.01.2023 Caldas - Alverca 2:1
    21.01.2023 Fontinhas - Alverca 1:1
    08.01.2023 Leiria - Alverca 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense00000:000
    2Varzim00000:000
    3Paredes00000:000
    4AD Fafe00000:000
    5Sanjoanense00000:000
    6Amarante00000:000
    7Sao Joao Ver00000:000
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B00000:000
    9Braga B00000:000
    10AD Marco 0900000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Academica00000:000
    2Atletico CP00000:000
    3Covilha00000:000
    4Mafra00000:000
    5Caldas00000:000
    61u00ba Dezembro00000:000
    7Lusitano GC00000:000
    8Amora00000:000
    9Santarem00000:000
    10Os Belenenses00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )