Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Amagaju
35% | Draw
34.3% | Gorilla
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amagaju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amagaju than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amagaju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Amagaju - Gorilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.27) |
2.36 ↓
(2.8) |
2.64 ↓
(3.28) |
23.5%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- Recent performances by Amagaju have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gorilla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gorilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gorilla has had a series of away games.
- Amagaju will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amagaju won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amagaju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Amagaju won against Gorilla?
Amagaju has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorilla won against Amagaju?
Gorilla has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amagaju - Gorilla were as follows:
08.11.2025
Gorilla
-
Amagaju
0:1
05.04.2025
Amagaju
-
Gorilla
1:0
25.10.2024
Gorilla
-
Amagaju
3:0
02.03.2024
Gorilla
-
Amagaju
1:1
22.10.2023
Amagaju
-
Gorilla
0:1
Latest results of Amagaju
Latest results of Gorilla
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 57:19 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | APR | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 36:19 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Marines | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Musanze | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 26 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 14:32 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 21 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:36 | -19 | 21 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
