Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Amagaju
21.6% | Draw
32.6% | Police
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amagaju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amagaju than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Amagaju - Police Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.17 ↓
(4.38) |
2.77 ↓
(2.88) |
1.97 ↑
(1.89) |
10.9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amagaju won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Amagaju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Police is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Amagaju won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amagaju won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Amagaju won against Police?
Amagaju has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Amagaju?
Police has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amagaju - Police were as follows:
19.10.2025
Police
-
Amagaju
1:0
07.05.2025
Amagaju
-
Police
0:2
29.11.2024
Police
-
Amagaju
0:1
02.04.2024
Police
-
Amagaju
2:0
25.11.2023
Amagaju
-
Police
1:2
Latest results of Amagaju
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:40 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
