Amaury Raynel vs Florent Bax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Kigali Men Amaury Raynel - Florent Bax
Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
55

Chances of winning


Amaury Raynel
23.5%
Florent Bax
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 67%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amaury Raynel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amaury Raynel's form might have worsened.
  • Florent Bax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Florent Bax's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amaury Raynel than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amaury Raynel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Florent Bax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Amaury Raynel - Florent Bax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.08
    (2.6)

    1.25
    (1.41)
    4.5%
    (9.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Raynel is ranked ATP: 707. Bax is ranked ATP: 307.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bax will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Amaury Raynel
    Latest results of Florent Bax
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Houkes M. (1)Motta A.2 : 0
    2Andrzejczak M.Dubinin A.2 : 0
    3Ishimwe C.Vankan M.0 : 2
    4Shirokyi D.Steiner M. (8)0 : 2
    5Neuchrist M. (4)Eqbal I.2 : 0
    6Garcia Mestre J.Van Der Meerschen M.0 : 2
    7Kamboj U.Aerne L.2 : 1
    8Suresh D.Alujas R. (7)1 : 2
    9Dlimi Y. (6)Manishimwe M. E.2 : 0
    10Homberg M.David M. R.2 : 0
    11Van Der Merwe M.Bataljin L.2 : 1
    12Niyigena E.Denolly C. (3)0 : 2
    13Raynel A. (5)Van Herck L.2 : 0
    14Bulus C.Ujvary M.1 : 2
    15Lalami Laaroussi Y.Dinev D.2 : 0
    16Ambarzumjan E.Bax F. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Houkes M. (1)Andrzejczak M.2 : 1
    2Vankan M.Steiner M. (8)0 : 2
    3Neuchrist M. (RET.) (4)Van Der Meerschen M.1 : 1
    4Kamboj U.Alujas R. (7)0 : 2
    5Dlimi Y. (6)Homberg M.1 : 2
    6Van Der Merwe M.Denolly C. (3)0 : 2
    7Raynel A. (5)Ujvary M.2 : 0
    8Lalami Laaroussi Y.Bax F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Houkes M. (1)Steiner M. (8)0 : 2
    2Van Der Meerschen M.Alujas R. (7)2 : 0
    3Homberg M.Denolly C. (3)0 : 2
    4Raynel A. (5)Bax F. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Steiner M. (8)Van Der Meerschen M.2 : 0
    2Denolly C. (3)Bax F. (RET.) (2)0 : 0

    Final
    1Steiner M. (8)Denolly C. (3)1 : 2