Amazonas vs Coritiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 38
  • Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.99
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
87% (402/460)70% (137/197)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.362.81
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1717
Passes
87% (402/460)70% (137/197)
Long passes
51% (20/39)30% (14/46)
Passes in final third
82% (129/158)59% (41/70)
Crosses
13% (4/32)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.57
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
1717
Tackles
60% (3/5)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4145
Clearances
1831
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.811.36
Goals prevented
0.810.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', Torres D. 🟨,
  • 7', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Gomez S. , Lucas Ronier (A),
  • 44', 0 - 2, Iury Castilho , Dellatorre (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rafael Tavares , Gabriel Domingos ,
  • 46', William Barbio , Castrillon N. ,
  • 46', Ramirez K. , Luan Silva ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Luan Silva ,
  • 57', Iury Castilho , Vini Paulista ,
  • 57', Gomez S. , Filipe Machado ,
  • 62', Henrique Almeida 🟨,
  • 62', Josue 🟨,
  • 63', Fabiano 🟨,
  • 65', Torres J. , Kiko ,
  • 65', Josue , Geovane ,
  • 66', Wallisson , Felipe Guimaraes ,
  • 81', Dellatorre , Nicolas Careca ,
  • 82', Kiko 🟨,
  • 83', Luan Silva 🟨,
  • 84', Torres D. , Dener ,
  • 85', Vasquez L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Amazonas
25.6%
Draw
30%
Coritiba
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 31.5% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 30% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Amazonas - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.71
    (3.37)
    3.13
    (2.96)
    2.1
    (2.29)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Amazonas - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Coritiba will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Amazonas is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
    • Coritiba is Qualified for Serie A Betano
    • Amazonas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Coritiba is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Coritiba will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amazonas - Coritiba were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Coritiba - Amazonas 1:1
    13.10.2024 Coritiba - Amazonas 3:1
    25.06.2024 Amazonas - Coritiba 1:0
    Latest results of Amazonas
    14.11.2025 Paysandu - Amazonas 2:2
    10.11.2025 Botafogo SP - Amazonas 1:0
    02.11.2025 Amazonas - Cuiabá 2:0
    Latest results of Coritiba
    15.11.2025 Coritiba - Athletic Club 0:0
    09.11.2025 Paysandu - Coritiba 1:2
    31.10.2025 Coritiba - CRB Maceio 0:0
    25.10.2025 Volta Redonda - Coritiba 0:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo SP11004:043
    2Goias11003:123
    3Londrina11003:123
    4Avai11002:023
    5Athletic Club11002:113
    6Criciuma11001:013
    7Operario-PR11001:013
    8CRB10102:201
    9Vila Nova FC10102:201
    10Sao Bernardo10101:101
    11Cuiaba10100:001
    12Ceara10101:101
    13Sport Recife10100:001
    14Ponte Preta10011:2-10
    15Nautico10010:1-10
    16Atletico GO10010:1-10
    17America MG10011:3-20
    18Novorizontino10011:3-20
    19Juventude10010:2-20
    20Fortaleza10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )