Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 38
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (402/460) | 70% (137/197) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (402/460) | 70% (137/197) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 30% (14/46) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 82% (129/158) | 59% (41/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/32) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Torres D. 🟨,
- 7', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽, Lucas Ronier (A),
- 44', 0 - 2, Iury Castilho ⚽, Dellatorre (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rafael Tavares ↓, Gabriel Domingos ↑,
- 46', William Barbio ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez K. ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Luan Silva ⚽,
- 57', Iury Castilho ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 57', Gomez S. ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
- 62', Henrique Almeida 🟨,
- 62', Josue 🟨,
- 63', Fabiano 🟨,
- 65', Torres J. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 65', Josue ↓, Geovane ↑,
- 66', Wallisson ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
- 81', Dellatorre ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
- 82', Kiko 🟨,
- 83', Luan Silva 🟨,
- 84', Torres D. ↓, Dener ↑,
- 85', Vasquez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amazonas
25.6% | Draw
30% | Coritiba
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Amazonas - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↑
(3.37) |
3.13 ↑
(2.96) |
2.1 ↓
(2.29) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Amazonas - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coritiba will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Amazonas is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
- Coritiba is Qualified for Serie A Betano
- Amazonas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Coritiba is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Coritiba will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Coritiba?
Amazonas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Amazonas?
Coritiba has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amazonas - Coritiba were as follows:
27.07.2025
Coritiba
-
Amazonas
1:1
13.10.2024
Coritiba
-
Amazonas
3:1
25.06.2024
Amazonas
-
Coritiba
1:0
Latest results of Amazonas
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avai | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Ceara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Goias | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Nautico | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sport Recife | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Londrina | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sao Bernardo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Juventude | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico GO | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | CRB | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | America MG | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
