Result
2:1
08/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 21
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (391/456) | 75% (231/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (391/456) | 75% (231/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (25/41) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (79/105) | 46% (36/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 81% (17/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Carlao ⚽, Lucas Rodrigues (A),
- 13', Torres J. ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
- 32', Juninho ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 45+2', Castrillon N. 🟨,
- 45+4', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Victor Hugo ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Henrique Almeida ⚽, Rafael Tavares (A),
- 53', Alencar 🟨,
- 55', Torres D. 🟨,
- 61', Luan Silva ↓, Vagner ↑,
- 61', Torres D. ↓, Erick Varao ↑,
- 62', Alencar ↓, Albano ↑,
- 78', Edson Lucas ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
- 78', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 78', Carlao ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 82', Vasquez L. 🟨,
- 84', Vasquez L. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Thayllon ⚽, Lucas Rodrigues (A),
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
50.2% | Draw
29.4% | Amazonas
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Ferroviária - Amazonas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.08) |
3.38 ↑
(3.12) |
4.95 ↑
(3.73) |
1.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Amazonas?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Ferroviária is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Erik Nascimento
(Inactive)
Maycon
(Injury)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amazonas: Akapo C.
(Inactive)
Alyson
(Inactive)
Dener
(Inactive)
Henrique Almeida
(Inactive)
Kiko
(Inactive)
Rafael Vitor
(Yellow Cards)
Thomas Luciano
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Denilson
(Inactive)
Eric Melo
(Inactive)
Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Amazonas: Joao Lopes
(Inactive)
Rafael Tavares
(Inactive)
Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Amazonas?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Ferroviária?
Amazonas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Amazonas were as follows:
12.04.2025
Amazonas
-
Ferroviária
0:0
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Amazonas
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
