Result
2:1
24/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (352/408) | 74% (211/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (352/408) | 74% (211/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (26/45) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (86/115) | 57% (30/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Ramirez K. ⚽, Ivan Alvarino (A),
- 28', Vasquez L. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Miranda ⚽, Boschilia (A),
- 33', Leo Cittadini ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
- 45+4', Iverton 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
- 60', Daniel Amorim ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
- 65', Rafael Monteiro ↓, Akapo C. ↑,
- 65', Guilherme Xavier ↓, Erick Varao ↑,
- 73', Ramirez K. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 74', Henrique Almeida ↓, Vitao ↑,
- 75', Akapo C. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 1, Boschilia ⚽,
- 78', Gabriel Souza ↓, Diogo Mateus ↑,
- 78', Neto Paraiba ↓, Ademilson ↑,
- 80', Iverton ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 86', Ademilson 🟨,
- 90+1', Pedro Vilhena 🟨,
- 90+3', Torres J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Operário Ferroviario
60.1% | Draw
26% | Amazonas
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.67) |
3.58 ↑
(3.45) |
6.8 ↑
(5.85) |
6.2%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Operário Ferroviario will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Operário PR is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Amazonas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Operário PR is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Operário PR: Filipe Claudino
(Injury)
Matheus Souza
(Inactive)
Talles
(Inactive)
Thiaguinho
(Yellow Cards)
Vagner
(Inactive)
Zuluaga J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson
(Inactive)
Fernando Neto
(Inactive)
Luan Silva
(Yellow Cards)
Rafael Tavares
(Yellow Cards)
Zabala D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Operário PR: Marcos Paulo
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Amazonas: Fabiano
(Injury)
Renan
(Inactive)
Thomas Luciano
(Inactive)
William Barbio
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Amazonas?
Operário Ferroviario has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Operário Ferroviario?
Amazonas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas were as follows:
25.05.2025
Amazonas
-
Operário Ferroviario
2:0
18.09.2024
Amazonas
-
Operário Ferroviario
2:1
03.06.2024
Operário Ferroviario
-
Amazonas
1:0
21.05.2023
Amazonas
-
Operário Ferroviario
2:2
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Latest results of Amazonas
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 13 | 53 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Goias | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 47 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 46 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 41:30 | 11 | 44 |
| 8 | CRB | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Remo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Avai | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 36 |
| 15 | America MG | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
