Result
3:2
29/01/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 45
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | MySports, MySports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 34 | 36 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.82% (3/34) | 5.56% (2/36) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 34 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.44% (34/36) | 93.94% (31/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.46 | 52.54 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 00:39, De Luca T. (2 min),
- 04:40, 1 - 0, Muller M. (G), DiDomenico C. (A),
- 06:00, 1 - 1, Emanuelsson E. (G), Muller M. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:45, 2 - 1, DiDomenico C. (G), Terraneo S. (A), Formenton A. (A2)
- 16:24, Carrick C. (2 min),
- 16:24, Zwerger D. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 18:00, 3 - 1, Formenton A. (G), DiDomenico C. (A),
- 19:24, 3 - 2, Simion D. (G), Thurkauf C. (A),
Chances of winning
Ambrì-Piotta
34.2% | Draw
22.8% | Lugano
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ambrì-Piotta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ambrì-Piotta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1%)
Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↓
(2.84) |
4.05 ↓
(4.14) |
2.15 ↑
(2.1) |
8.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone National League (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ambrì-Piotta won 2.
- Ambrì-Piotta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lugano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ambrì-Piotta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ambrì-Piotta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 39:62. (average 2:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ambrì-Piotta won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 2.3:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ambrì-Piotta won against Lugano?
Ambrì-Piotta has won 6 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Ambrì-Piotta?
Lugano has won 11 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano were as follows:
28.11.2025
Lugano
-
Ambrì-Piotta
5:1
28.10.2025
Ambrì-Piotta
-
Lugano
2:5
30.09.2025
Lugano
-
Ambrì-Piotta
1:2
28.01.2025
Ambrì-Piotta
-
Lugano
2:1
23.12.2024
Lugano
-
Ambrì-Piotta
4:1
Latest results of Ambrì-Piotta
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Rapperswil-Jona (7) | Zug (8) | 2 : 5 |
| 4 | Bern (9) | Biel (10) | 3 : 4 |
Final
