Ambrì-Piotta vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Swiss National League Hockey Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano
Result
2:1 penalties
28/01/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SWITZERLAND: National League - Round 44
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, Veikkaus TV

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2930
Shots off Goal
1911
Shooting PCT
3.45% (1/29)3.33% (1/30)
Blocked Shots
1414
Goalkeeper Saves
2928
Saves PCT
96.67% (29/30)96.55% (28/29)
Penalties
33
PIM
629
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (3/3)
Faceoffs Won
1629
Faceoffs %
35.5664.44
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 15:44, Arcobello M. (5 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:15, 0 - 1, Muller M. (G), Joly M. (A),
  • 09:22, 1 - 1, Kubalik D. (G), Maillet P. (A), DiDomenico C. (A2)
  • 20:00, Sekac J. (2 min),
  • 20:00, Sekac J. (2 min),
  • 20:00, Heed T. (2 min),
  • 20:00, Heed T. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 15:13, Wuthrich D. (2 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 0)
  • 1, Heed T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Muller M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Burgler D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Carr D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, DiDomenico C. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Fazzini L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Kubalik D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Joly M. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Ambrì-Piotta
45.1%
Draw
22.9%
Lugano
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 23.3% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 24.4% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ambrì-Piotta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ambrì-Piotta than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.98)
    4.08
    (4.03)
    2.89
    (3.21)
    7.4%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ambrì-Piotta won 1.
    • Recent matches Ambrì-Piotta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lugano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ambrì-Piotta will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Ambrì-Piotta won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 40:63 (average 2:3.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ambrì-Piotta won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:25 (average 2.4:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano were as follows:
    23.12.2024 Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta 4:1
    22.11.2024 Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta 3:1
    11.10.2024 Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano 2:1
    09.03.2024 Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta 3:1
    07.03.2024 Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano 4:4
    Latest results of Ambrì-Piotta
    24.01.2025 EV Zug - Ambrì-Piotta 3:4
    22.01.2025 Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie 7:3
    17.01.2025 Ambrì-Piotta - ZSC Lions 2:3
    15.01.2025 Bern - Ambrì-Piotta 2:4
    Latest results of Lugano
    25.01.2025 Lugano - EHC Kloten 4:1
    23.01.2025 Lugano - Genève-Servette 5:2
    18.01.2025 ZSC Lions - Lugano 4:1
    17.01.2025 Lugano - Davos 6:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Lausanne (1)Langnau Tigers (8)4 : 3
    2Bern (3)Fribourg (6)3 : 4
    3Zurich (2)EHC Kloten (7)4 : 1
    4Zug (4)Davos (5)0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Lausanne (1)Fribourg (6)4 : 3
    2Zurich (2)Davos (5)4 : 2

    Final
    1Lausanne (1)Zurich (2)1 : 4