Result
1:2
30/09/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 10
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4% (1/25) | 6.45% (2/31) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.55% (29/31) | 96% (24/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 10:39, 0 - 1, Joly M. (G),
- 13:22, Burgler D. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:06, 1 - 1, Sanford Z. (G),
- 10:02, Formenton A. (2 min),
- 14:55, Sanford Z. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 08:12, 1 - 2, Zwerger D. (G), De Luca T. (A),
Chances of winning
Lugano
42.7% | Draw
23.8% | Ambrì-Piotta
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Ambrì-Piotta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ambrì-Piotta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ambrì-Piotta than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ambrì-Piotta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.5) |
4.08 ↓
(4.24) |
2.85 ↑
(2.4) |
1.9%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone National League (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 3.
- Lugano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ambrì-Piotta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 60:39. (average 3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:18. (average 3.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Ambrì-Piotta?
Lugano has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ambrì-Piotta won against Lugano?
Ambrì-Piotta has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta were as follows:
28.01.2025
Ambrì-Piotta
-
Lugano
2:1
23.12.2024
Lugano
-
Ambrì-Piotta
4:1
22.11.2024
Lugano
-
Ambrì-Piotta
3:1
11.10.2024
Ambrì-Piotta
-
Lugano
2:1
09.03.2024
Lugano
-
Ambrì-Piotta
3:1
Latest results of Ambrì-Piotta
Swiss National League Hockey Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Davos | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 54:27 | 38 |
| 2 | Rapperswil-Jona | 14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 48:32 | 32 |
| 3 | Lausanne | 15 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 55:36 | 27 |
| 4 | Servette | 14 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 41:53 | 26 |
| 5 | Fribourg | 14 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 45:34 | 24 |
| 6 | Zug | 14 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 34:35 | 23 |
| 7 | Zurich | 14 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 41:31 | 23 |
| 8 | Biel | 13 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 38:34 | 19 |
| 9 | Langnau Tigers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 33:42 | 17 |
| 10 | EHC Kloten | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 34:42 | 17 |
| 11 | Lugano | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 31:37 | 16 |
| 12 | Bern | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 22:33 | 14 |
| 13 | Ambri-Piotta | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27:44 | 13 |
| 14 | Ajoie | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21:44 | 5 |
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
National League (Play Out: )
