Result
2:0
19/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Paramount+, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | Como TV |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Malaysia | Mola |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+ |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.64 | 0.22 |
Ball Possession |
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39% | 61% |
Total shots |
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21 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 1 |
Passes |
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83% (300/362) | 85% (484/571) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.64 | 0.22 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.03 | 0.23 |
Total shots |
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21 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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8 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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13 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
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8 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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26 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 8 |
Passes |
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83% (300/362) | 85% (484/571) |
Long passes |
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60% (32/53) | 49% (33/68) |
Passes in final third |
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67% (51/76) | 69% (75/109) |
Crosses |
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54% (7/13) | 25% (2/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.64 | 0.33 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 20 |
Fouls |
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8 | 13 |
Tackles |
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71% (12/17) | 55% (11/20) |
Duels won |
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49 | 46 |
Clearances |
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14 | 19 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.23 | 1.03 |
Goals prevented |
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0.23 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Serna K. ⚽, Hercules (A),
- 41', Pestana J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pestana J. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Martinelli ⚽, Canobbio A. (A),
- 61', Escobar J. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
- 61', Murillo J. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
- 68', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
- 68', Lima ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 78', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 78', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 78', Holgado R. ↓, Garces Y. ↑,
- 81', Candelo Y. 🟨,
- 81', Martinelli ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 84', Candelo Y. ↓, Castillo M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense 53.4% | Draw 28.2% | América de Cali 18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for América de Cali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fluminense - América de Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↑ (1.61) |
3.31 ↑ (3.15) |
5.17 ↓ (6.75) |
6.7% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - América de Cali?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
- Fluminense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- América de Cali has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- América de Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against América de Cali?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Fluminense?
América de Cali has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - América de Cali were as follows:
12.08.2025
América de Cali
-
Fluminense
1:2
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of América de Cali
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |