Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Sergipano - Play Offs - 3rd place
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Gustavo Crecci 🟨,
- 39', Renato 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Dione 🟨,
- 54', Luan Silva 🟨,
- 54', Alisson ↓, Biro Biro ↑,
- 59', Gustavo Crecci ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
- 73', Dione ↓, Lemos I. ↑,
- 73', Fabricio Moura ↓, Yago Henrique ↑,
- 75', Danielzinho ↓, Leo Cotia ↑,
- 75', Renato ↓, Birimbau A. ↑,
- 75', Wesley Ceifador ↓, Rander ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Pedro Igor ⚽,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 89', 🟥,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+7', Elimar ↓, Gustavo Fagundes ↑,
- 90+7', Luan Silva ↓, Jair ↑,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
59.1% | Draw
26.7% | América de Propriá
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)América de Propriá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Propriá than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Itabaiana - América de Propriá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.64) |
3.4 ↑
(3.3) |
6.39 ↑
(5.64) |
10.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Itabaiana is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Itabaiana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against América de Propriá?
Itabaiana has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América de Propriá won against Itabaiana?
América de Propriá has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - América de Propriá were as follows:
11.02.2026
América de Propriá
-
Itabaiana
0:3
15.03.2025
Itabaiana
-
América de Propriá
1:0
09.03.2025
América de Propriá
-
Itabaiana
1:1
25.01.2025
América de Propriá
-
Itabaiana
1:1
07.02.2024
Itabaiana
-
América de Propriá
2:0
Latest results of Itabaiana
Latest results of América de Propriá
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lagarto (3) | America SE (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Itabaiana (2) | Falcon (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Confianca (4) | Guarany SE (5) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | America SE (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | Confianca (4) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Confianca (4) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
3rd place| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | America SE (6) | 1 : 0 |
