América de Propriá vs Itabaiana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
11/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Isaque ,
  • 22', 0 - 2, Luan Silva ,
  • 44', 0 - 3, Jair ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


América de Propriá
15.7%
Draw
25.5%
Itabaiana
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 31.5% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26% 32% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América de Propriá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América de Propriá's form might have worsened.
  • Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabaiana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Propriá than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Propriá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-16%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itabaiana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • América de Propriá - Itabaiana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.26
    (3.46)
    4.45
    (2.9)
    1.94
    (2.17)
    -12.1%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • América de Propriá is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Itabaiana is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • América de Propriá is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Itabaiana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Itabaiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Itabaiana could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Propriá won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América de Propriá won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América de Propriá - Itabaiana were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Itabaiana - América de Propriá 1:0
    09.03.2025 América de Propriá - Itabaiana 1:1
    25.01.2025 América de Propriá - Itabaiana 1:1
    07.02.2024 Itabaiana - América de Propriá 2:0
    05.02.2023 América de Propriá - Itabaiana 2:2
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    08.02.2026 Confiança - Itabaiana 1:0
    04.02.2026 Itabaiana - Dorense 3:0
    31.01.2026 Lagarto - Itabaiana 0:0
    21.01.2026 Itabaiana - Sergipe 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)