Result
1:0
25/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 28
- Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.60 | 0.50 |
Ball Possession |
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61% | 39% |
Total shots |
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15 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
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81% (337/416) | 73% (199/273) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.60 | 0.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.58 | 0.51 |
Total shots |
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15 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 2 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 14 |
Passes |
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81% (337/416) | 73% (199/273) |
Long passes |
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70% (48/69) | 26% (14/53) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (81/126) | 52% (51/98) |
Crosses |
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23% (5/22) | 30% (3/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.59 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
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28 | 19 |
Fouls |
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14 | 11 |
Tackles |
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46% (6/13) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
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43 | 47 |
Clearances |
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27 | 28 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.51 | 0.58 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.49 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
- 34', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Danielzinho ↓, Jean Dias ↑,
- 46', Dudu Marques ↓, Heron ↑,
- 56', Julio Cesar 🟨,
- 67', Stenio ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
- 67', Arthur Sousa ↓, David da Hora ↑,
- 70', Martinez F. ↓, Maranhao ↑,
- 70', Robert Conceicao ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 73', Miguelito 🟨,
- 78', Miguelito ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
- 80', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
- 83', Yuri Alves ↓, Talisson ↑,
- 89', Yago Souza ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 90', Felipe Amaral ↓, Aloisio ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Lele ⚽, Talisson (A),
Chances of winning
Atlético Goianiense 49.1% | Draw 28.2% | América Mineiro 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (1.92) |
3.35 ↑ (3.25) |
4.19 ↑ (3.95) |
6% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 0.
- Atlético GO is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- América MG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Atlético GO is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético GO: Guilherme Romao
(Yellow Cards)
Jorginho
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kauan Rodrigues
(Yellow Cards)
Radsley
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Dalbert
(Injury)
Fabinho
(Ankle Injury)
Guilherme Pato
(Injury)
Heber
(Injury)
Jhosefer
(Injury)
Maguinho
(Injury)
Mariano
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Atlético GO: Guilherme Romao
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against América Mineiro?
Atlético Goianiense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Atlético Goianiense?
América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro were as follows:
27.05.2025
América Mineiro
-
Atlético Goianiense
2:1
13.11.2022
América Mineiro
-
Atlético Goianiense
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
2 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
19 | Amazonas | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 31 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )