Atlético Goianiense vs América Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro
Result
1:0
25/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 28
  • Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.50
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
81% (337/416)73% (199/273)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.580.51
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1919
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
81% (337/416)73% (199/273)
Long passes
70% (48/69)26% (14/53)
Passes in final third
64% (81/126)52% (51/98)
Crosses
23% (5/22)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.67
Throw-ins
2819
Fouls
1411
Tackles
46% (6/13)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.510.58
Goals prevented
-0.49-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
  • 34', Martinez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Danielzinho , Jean Dias ,
  • 46', Dudu Marques , Heron ,
  • 56', Julio Cesar 🟨,
  • 67', Stenio , Rafa Silva ,
  • 67', Arthur Sousa , David da Hora ,
  • 70', Martinez F. , Maranhao ,
  • 70', Robert Conceicao , Kelvin ,
  • 73', Miguelito 🟨,
  • 78', Miguelito , Yago Santos ,
  • 80', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
  • 83', Yuri Alves , Talisson ,
  • 89', Yago Souza , Emerson Santos ,
  • 90', Felipe Amaral , Aloisio ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Lele , Talisson (A),

Chances of winning


Atlético Goianiense
49.1%
Draw
28.2%
América Mineiro
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 28.4% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 27.6% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.92)
    3.35
    (3.25)
    4.19
    (3.95)
    6%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 0.
    • Atlético GO is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • América MG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Atlético GO is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético GO: Guilherme Romao (Yellow Cards) Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kauan Rodrigues (Yellow Cards) Radsley (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Knee Injury) Dalbert (Injury) Fabinho (Ankle Injury) Guilherme Pato (Injury) Heber (Injury) Jhosefer (Injury) Maguinho (Injury) Mariano (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Atlético GO: Guilherme Romao (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro were as follows:
    27.05.2025 América Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense 2:1
    13.11.2022 América Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba32168834:211356
    2Criciuma32158942:291353
    3Novorizontino321411736:27953
    4Goias321410836:29752
    5Chapecoense-SC321561144:311351
    6Remo321312739:31851
    7Athletico-PR321471145:42349
    8Cuiaba321310938:35349
    9CRB321451338:33547
    10Atletico GO321112935:33245
    11Avai3211111040:34644
    12Vila Nova FC3211101132:33-143
    13Operario-PR321091332:36-439
    14America MG321071534:39-537
    15Athletic Club321071537:44-737
    16Ferroviaria328131136:42-637
    17Volta Redonda328101422:34-1234
    18Botafogo SP32891527:47-2033
    19Amazonas327101533:48-1531
    20Paysandu PA325111628:40-1226

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