Result
0:1 penalties
01/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (226/282) | 89% (518/584) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (226/282) | 89% (518/584) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 76% (131/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Nathan Pelae ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 63', Reinier ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 63', Preciado A. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
- 66', Willian Bigode ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 67', Val Soares ↓, Yarlen ↑,
- 80', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
- 80', Victor Hugo ↓, Minda A. ↑,
- 83', Rafa Barcelos ↓, Thallyson ↑,
- 83', Paulo Victor ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
- 90+3', Gustavo 🟨,
- 90+4', Cisse M. 🟨,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
24.5% | Draw
29.7% | Atlético Mineiro
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↓
(4.14) |
3.09 ↓
(3.3) |
2 ↑
(1.84) |
9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Atlético MG will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Atlético Mineiro?
América Mineiro has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against América Mineiro?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
22.02.2026
Atlético Mineiro
-
América Mineiro
1:1
21.01.2026
América Mineiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
15.03.2025
América Mineiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
08.03.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
América Mineiro
4:0
29.01.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
América Mineiro
1:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
