Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Mineiro - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV 2, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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51% | 49% |
Goal Attempts |
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7 | 7 |
Shots on Goal |
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2 | 1 |
Shots off Goal |
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5 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 5 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 11 |
Offsides |
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0 | 0 |
Fouls |
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12 | 15 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 1 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Lyanco 🟨,
- 52', Figueiredo 🟨,
- 59', Yago Santos ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
- 67', Fabinho ↓, Adyson ↑,
- 67', Miqueias ↓, Felipe Amaral ↑,
- 67', Figueiredo ↓, David Lopes ↑,
- 75', Rubens ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 75', Gabriel Menino ↓, Patrick Silva ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Jonathas ⚽, Elizari F. (A),
- 78', Kaua Diniz ↓, Jhosefer ↑,
- 81', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 81', Cuello ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 90+3', Adyson 🟥,
- 90+3', Guilherme Arana 🟥,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro 17.2% | Draw 26% | Atlético Mineiro 56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Mineiro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.38 ↑ (3.8) |
3.56 ↑ (3.5) |
1.63 ↓ (1.89) |
8% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-4.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 1.
- Recent matches América MG is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Atlético MG in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- América MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches América MG won 2 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:30 (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Atlético Mineiro?
América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against América Mineiro?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
08.03.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
América Mineiro
4:0
29.01.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
América Mineiro
1:1
17.03.2024
América Mineiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
09.03.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
América Mineiro
2:0
24.02.2024
América Mineiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Draw
5th-8th placesSemi-finals1 | Uberlandia | Betim | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
2 | Democrata GV | Athletic Club | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Final1 | Uberlandia | Athletic Club | 2 : 3, 0 : 2 |