Result
1:0
19/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 8
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (245/297) | 82% (357/436) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 9 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 12 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (245/297) | 82% (357/436) |
| Long passes |
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| 57% (28/49) | 32% (19/60) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 64% (43/67) | 65% (68/105) |
| Crosses |
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| 5% (1/22) | 33% (10/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.45 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 22 | 30 |
| Fouls |
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| 22 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 68% (13/19) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
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| 43 | 59 |
| Clearances |
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| 32 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 10 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.71 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.71 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Stenio 🟨,
- 9', Gomez S. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Gomez S. ⚽,
- 35', Guilherme Vargas ↓, Maicon ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
- 58', Vini Paulista ↓, Wallisson ↑,
- 58', Paulinho ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 59', Kaua Diniz ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
- 67', Filipe Machado 🟨,
- 67', Nicolas Careca ↓, Ruan Assis ↑,
- 67', Filipe Machado ↓, Geovane ↑,
- 67', Stenio ↓, Gustavinho ↑,
- 67', Mariano ↓, Samuel ↑,
- 72', Maicon 🟨,
- 73', Jhosefer 🟨,
- 74', Zeca 🟨,
- 77', Jhosefer ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
- 82', Renato Marques 🟨,
- 90+2', Geovane 🟨,
Chances of winning
Coritiba
47.1% | Draw
31.4% | América Mineiro
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coritiba's performance.América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coritiba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Coritiba - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.34) |
3 ↑
(2.97) |
4.38 ↑
(3.27) |
6.3%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Coritiba - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3.
- Coritiba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, América MG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Coritiba will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Coritiba: Dellatorre
(Inactive)
Everaldo
(Inactive)
Pedro Morisco
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Moledo
(Inactive)
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in América MG: Yago Santos
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against América Mineiro?
Coritiba has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Coritiba?
América Mineiro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - América Mineiro were as follows:
04.10.2024
América Mineiro
-
Coritiba
2:1
19.06.2024
Coritiba
-
América Mineiro
1:0
08.11.2023
América Mineiro
-
Coritiba
0:3
08.07.2023
Coritiba
-
América Mineiro
3:1
03.09.2022
América Mineiro
-
Coritiba
2:0
Latest results of Coritiba
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
