Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 27
- Referee: Guimaraes L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (206/255) | 86% (346/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (206/255) | 86% (346/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 67% (33/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (48/73) | 75% (80/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 32% (9/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.91 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Willian Bigode ↓, Miguelito ↑,
- 46', Elizari F. ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 63', Wallisson ↓, Josue ↑,
- 63', Iury Castilho ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
- 64', Stenio ↓, Thauan ↑,
- 68', Arthur Sousa ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
- 71', 1 - 0, Miguelito ⚽, Thauan (A),
- 72', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
- 72', Vini Paulista ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 78', Joao Almeida ↓, Bruno Melo ↑,
- 82', de Pena C. 🟨,
- 85', Rafa Silva 🟨,
- 90', Felipe Amaral ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
38.3% | Draw
31.7% | Coritiba
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
América Mineiro - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.36) |
2.97 ↓
(3.1) |
3.13 ↓
(3.18) |
6.7%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Fabinho
(Ankle Injury)
Guilherme Pato
(Injury)
Heber
(Injury)
Jhosefer
(Injury)
Maguinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva
(Injury)
Bruno Melo
(Inactive)
Clayson
(Red Card)
Everaldo
(Inactive)
Filipe Machado
(Red Card)
Pedro Rangel
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in América MG: Dalbert
(Injury)
Marlon
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Josue
(Injury)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Coritiba?
América Mineiro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against América Mineiro?
Coritiba has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Coritiba were as follows:
19.05.2025
Coritiba
-
América Mineiro
1:0
04.10.2024
América Mineiro
-
Coritiba
2:1
19.06.2024
Coritiba
-
América Mineiro
1:0
08.11.2023
América Mineiro
-
Coritiba
0:3
08.07.2023
Coritiba
-
América Mineiro
3:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
