Result
2:1
14/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (409/485) | 82% (238/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (409/485) | 82% (238/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (30/55) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (89/140) | 57% (32/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Leo Gobo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Thauan ↓, Yarlen ↑,
- 46', Yago Souza ↓, Val Soares ↑,
- 61', Leo Alaba ↓, Maguinho ↑,
- 66', Ferreira ↓, Evanderson ↑,
- 66', Lucas Mota ↓, Rodrigo Fumaca ↑,
- 67', Diego Guerra ↓, Wellisson ↑,
- 80', Rodrigo Fumaca 🟨,
- 83', Bruno Lopes ↓, Wandinho ↑,
- 83', Camacho ↓, Yuri Merlim ↑,
- 83', Willian Bigode ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
- 83', Segovia M. ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
- 90+4', Wellisson 🟨,
- 90+5', 0 - 1, Yuri Merlim ⚽, Foguinho (A),
- 90+6', Yuri Merlim 🟨,
- 90+6', Bruno Bispo 🟨,
- 90+7', Yago Oliveira 🟨,
- 90+13', 1 - 1, Val Soares (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+17', 2 - 1, Val Soares (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
53.7% | Draw
26.6% | North Esporte Clube
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)North Esporte Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Esporte Clube than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
América Mineiro - North Esporte Clube Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.81) |
3.44 ↑
(3.26) |
4.64 ↑
(4.23) |
9.2%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - North Esporte Clube?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, América MG is the team to beat.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against North Esporte Clube?
América Mineiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Esporte Clube won against América Mineiro?
North Esporte Clube has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - North Esporte Clube were as follows:
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of North Esporte Clube
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
