Result
1:1
07/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.03 | 0.29 |
Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
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84% (352/417) | 84% (264/316) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.03 | 0.29 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.87 | 0.76 |
Total shots |
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11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 14 |
Passes |
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84% (352/417) | 84% (264/316) |
Long passes |
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58% (36/62) | 30% (13/43) |
Passes in final third |
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67% (72/108) | 69% (52/75) |
Crosses |
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29% (7/24) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.82 | 0.34 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 18 |
Fouls |
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14 | 14 |
Tackles |
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58% (7/12) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
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41 | 34 |
Clearances |
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7 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.76 | 0.87 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.24 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Willian Bigode ⚽, Julio Cesar (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Neto Paraiba ⚽,
- 41', Stenio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Elizari F. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 66', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
- 66', Zuluaga J. ↓, Kleiton ↑,
- 72', Stenio ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
- 72', Paulinho ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 74', Cristiano ↓, Jefferson ↑,
- 74', Ademilson ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
- 79', Julio Cesar ↓, David da Hora ↑,
- 79', Willian Bigode ↓, Miqueias ↑,
- 88', Giraldo J. 🟨,
- 88', Neto Paraiba ↓, Andre ↑,
- 90+5', Miqueias 🟨,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro 43.2% | Draw 30.9% | Operário Ferroviario 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↑ (2.08) |
3.03 ↓ (3.13) |
3.62 ↓ (3.68) |
7% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 2.
- América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Operário PR is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Operário PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, América MG is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Dalbert
(Inactive)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Injury)
- There will not play in Operário PR: Gabriel Feliciano
(Injury)
- There are questionable in América MG: Arthur Sousa
(Injury)
David da Hora
(Inactive)
Kaua Diniz
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Operário PR: Filipe Claudino
(Inactive)
Marcos Paulo
(Inactive)
Nilson Junior
(Inactive)
Pedro Lucas
(Inactive)
Vitor Pernambuco
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Operário Ferroviario?
América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against América Mineiro?
Operário Ferroviario has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:
04.05.2025
Operário Ferroviario
-
América Mineiro
1:0
23.10.2024
Operário Ferroviario
-
América Mineiro
1:0
06.07.2024
América Mineiro
-
Operário Ferroviario
2:0
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
2 | Coritiba | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 47 |
3 | Criciuma | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:21 | 13 | 46 |
4 | Novorizontino | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
5 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 42 |
6 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
7 | Cuiaba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 41 |
8 | Remo | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 39 |
9 | Atletico GO | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
10 | CRB | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 28:24 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Avai | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 37 |
12 | Vila Nova FC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 36 |
13 | Operario-PR | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
14 | Athletic Club | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
15 | Ferroviaria | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
16 | America MG | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
17 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 29 |
18 | Amazonas | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 27 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )