Result
1:1
07/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (352/417) | 84% (264/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (352/417) | 84% (264/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (36/62) | 30% (13/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/108) | 69% (52/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Willian Bigode ⚽, Julio Cesar (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Neto Paraiba ⚽,
- 41', Stenio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Elizari F. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 66', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
- 66', Zuluaga J. ↓, Kleiton ↑,
- 72', Stenio ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
- 72', Paulinho ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 74', Cristiano ↓, Jefferson ↑,
- 74', Ademilson ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
- 79', Julio Cesar ↓, David da Hora ↑,
- 79', Willian Bigode ↓, Miqueias ↑,
- 88', Giraldo J. 🟨,
- 88', Neto Paraiba ↓, Andre ↑,
- 90+5', Miqueias 🟨,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
43.2% | Draw
30.9% | Operário Ferroviario
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.08) |
3.03 ↓
(3.13) |
3.62 ↓
(3.68) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - América MG (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 25%). Operário PR (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 2.
- América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Operário PR is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Operário PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, América MG is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Dalbert
(Inactive)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Injury)
- There will not play in Operário PR: Gabriel Feliciano
(Injury)
- There are questionable in América MG: Arthur Sousa
(Injury)
David da Hora
(Inactive)
Kaua Diniz
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Operário PR: Filipe Claudino
(Inactive)
Marcos Paulo
(Inactive)
Nilson Junior
(Inactive)
Pedro Lucas
(Inactive)
Vitor Pernambuco
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Operário Ferroviario?
América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against América Mineiro?
Operário Ferroviario has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:
04.05.2025
Operário Ferroviario
-
América Mineiro
1:0
23.10.2024
Operário Ferroviario
-
América Mineiro
1:0
06.07.2024
América Mineiro
-
Operário Ferroviario
2:0
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
