América Mineiro vs URT – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Mineiro - Round 6
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilSporTV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.530.37
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
31
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
92
Passes
88% (412/468)81% (259/320)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.530.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.07
Total shots
127
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
103
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
1911
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
2012
Passes
88% (412/468)81% (259/320)
Long passes
72% (49/68)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
69% (73/106)50% (32/64)
Crosses
24% (5/21)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.31
Throw ins
1927
Fouls
1220
Tackles
89% (17/19)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5641
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.070.97
Goals prevented
0.07-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Artur 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Paulo Victor , Eduardo Person (A),
  • 45+3', John Everson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 77', Eduardo Person 🟨,
  • 90+1', Rolon L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ricardo Silva 🟨,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
65.8%
Draw
23.3%
URT
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 27.3% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 29.2% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.
  • URT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and URT might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for URT than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that URT could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • América Mineiro - URT Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.73)
    3.94
    (3.33)
    8.51
    (4.5)
    8.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for América Mineiro - URT?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, América MG is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of URT
    24.01.2026 URT - Itabirito 2:1
    21.01.2026 Betim - URT 0:2
    17.01.2026 URT - Pouso Alegre 0:0
    14.01.2026 Athletic Club - URT 0:1
    10.01.2026 URT - North Esporte Clube 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Pouso AlegreCruzeiro0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Atletico-MGAmerica MG1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG