Santa Cruz de Natal vs América RN – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Santa Cruz de Natal - América RN
28/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
45
Total shots
913
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
68
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Hebert ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 75', 0 - 2, Giva ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz de Natal
21.7%
Draw
28.5%
América RN
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 25% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 22.9% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Santa Cruz de Natal - América RN Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (3.85)
    3.2
    (3.6)
    1.83
    (1.75)
    9.7%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz de Natal won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, América RN is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz de Natal won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:45. (average 0.6:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Cruz de Natal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz de Natal - América RN were as follows:
    18.05.2025 América RN - Santa Cruz de Natal 3:0
    15.03.2025 América RN - Santa Cruz de Natal 2:0
    09.03.2025 Santa Cruz de Natal - América RN 2:1
    08.02.2025 América RN - Santa Cruz de Natal 3:0
    07.07.2024 América RN - Santa Cruz de Natal 2:0
    Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
    Latest results of América RN
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0