Barakaldo vs Amorebieta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
108
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Kortazar M. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Molina E. ,
  • 33', Sola J. , Masllorens J. ,
  • 33', Marin A. , Selma D. ,
  • 39', Muguruza A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 2 - 0, Valino A. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 69', Revilla A. , Santiago P. ,
  • 69', Txoperena U. , Martinez J. ,
  • 73', Ben Hamed N. , Hervias P. ,
  • 73', Kortazar M. , Coulibaly A. ,
  • 73', Coto E. , Calavera J. ,
  • 88', de Jesus B. , Naveira U. ,
  • 88', Molina E. , Bujan U. ,

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
54%
Draw
26%
Amorebieta
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 24.8% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 23.9% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barakaldo's form might have worsened.
  • Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Barakaldo - Amorebieta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.55)
    3.56
    (3.7)
    4.64
    (5.7)
    8.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Barakaldo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Amorebieta were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Amorebieta - Barakaldo 2:2
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

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