Barakaldo vs Amorebieta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Barakaldo - Amorebieta
Result
2:0
03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
108
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Kortazar M. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Molina E. ,
  • 33', Sola J. , Masllorens J. ,
  • 33', Marin A. , Selma D. ,
  • 39', Muguruza A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 2 - 0, Valino A. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 69', Revilla A. , Santiago P. ,
  • 69', Txoperena U. , Martinez J. ,
  • 73', Ben Hamed N. , Hervias P. ,
  • 73', Kortazar M. , Coulibaly A. ,
  • 73', Coto E. , Calavera J. ,
  • 88', de Jesus B. , Naveira U. ,
  • 88', Molina E. , Bujan U. ,

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
54%
Draw
26%
Amorebieta
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 24.8% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 23.9% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barakaldo's form might have worsened.
  • Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Barakaldo - Amorebieta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.55)
    3.56
    (3.7)
    4.64
    (5.7)
    8.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Barakaldo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Amorebieta were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Amorebieta - Barakaldo 2:2
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife961216:61019
    2Celta Vigo B952212:7517
    3Racing Club Ferrol952213:9417
    4Barakaldo935111:8314
    5Real Aviles842215:14114
    6Real Madrid B840410:10012
    7Guadalajara933310:11-112
    8Ponferradina932410:9111
    9Lugo83236:5111
    10Cacereno92529:9011
    11Pontevedra83238:9-111
    12Arenas Getxo932411:14-311
    13Osasuna B82426:7-110
    14Merida AD931510:15-510
    15CF Talavera82338:9-19
    16Zamora82338:9-19
    17Arenteiro82337:8-19
    18Unionistas83058:10-29
    19Ath Bilbao B82337:9-29
    20Ourense CF90545:12-75

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