Barakaldo vs Amorebieta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
108
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Kortazar M. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Molina E. ,
  • 33', Sola J. , Masllorens J. ,
  • 33', Marin A. , Selma D. ,
  • 39', Muguruza A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 2 - 0, Valino A. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 69', Revilla A. , Santiago P. ,
  • 69', Txoperena U. , Martinez J. ,
  • 73', Ben Hamed N. , Hervias P. ,
  • 73', Kortazar M. , Coulibaly A. ,
  • 73', Coto E. , Calavera J. ,
  • 88', de Jesus B. , Naveira U. ,
  • 88', Molina E. , Bujan U. ,

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
54%
Draw
26%
Amorebieta
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 24.8% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 23.9% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barakaldo's form might have worsened.
  • Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Barakaldo - Amorebieta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.55)
    3.56
    (3.7)
    4.64
    (5.7)
    8.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Barakaldo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Amorebieta were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Amorebieta - Barakaldo 2:2
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

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