Basconia vs Amorebieta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 24

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Arratibel B. ,
  • 62', Zarandona T. 🟥,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Urzaiz U. ,
  • 89', Altamira J. 🟥,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Basconia
36.7%
Draw
31%
Amorebieta
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 30.3% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 29.1% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Basconia - Amorebieta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.32)
    2.95
    (3.03)
    2.83
    (3.06)
    9.4%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).
    • Basconia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Amorebieta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basconia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Basconia - Amorebieta were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Amorebieta - Basconia 2:1
    Latest results of Basconia
    15.02.2026 Eibar B - Basconia 1:3
    08.02.2026 Basconia - Utebo 4:0
    01.02.2026 UD Logroñés - Basconia 2:2
    25.01.2026 Basconia - Ebro 1:1
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    15.02.2026 Amorebieta - Ejea 2:0
    08.02.2026 Náxara - Amorebieta 2:2
    31.01.2026 Beasain - Amorebieta 0:1
    24.01.2026 Amorebieta - Utebo 0:1
    18.01.2026 UD Logroñés - Amorebieta 4:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union ✔ 30198356:263065
    2Alaves B301410634:181652
    3Utebo FC30156952:391351
    4UD Logrones30156964:323251
    5Tudelano30148850:361450
    6Sestao301112736:28845
    7Amorebieta30129931:26545
    8Eibar B301351235:36-144
    9Ebro30916539:31843
    10Basconia30912944:40439
    11Gernika301161331:38-739
    12Naxara30981333:43-1035
    13Beasain307111234:41-732
    14Ejea307101330:44-1431
    15SD Logrones306131120:37-1731
    16Mutilvera30861630:54-2430
    17Zaragoza B30671726:52-2625
    18Alfaro30571829:53-2422

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    R. Union is Confirmed as championsnQualified for