Sestao vs Amorebieta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Sestao - Amorebieta
Result
1:0
22/02/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
43
Shots on Goal
21
Shots off Goal
22
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 1 - 0, Bustillo M. ,
  • 68', Efremov A. , Martinez G. ,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 74', Munoz I. , Perez E. ,
  • 74', Hervias P. , Berto ,
  • 74', Kaxe , Marin A. ,
  • 77', Aznar D. , Martinez Ortiz L. ,
  • 77', Garcia S. , Planas A. ,
  • 83', Yuste A. , Coulibaly A. ,
  • 83', Masllorens J. , Sola J. ,
  • 86', Cordoba A. , Barandalla M. ,
  • 87', Etxaniz J. , Garai G. ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sestao
52.1%
Draw
28.8%
Amorebieta
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 31.3% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 32.3% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.
  • Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amorebieta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestao that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amorebieta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sestao - Amorebieta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.13)
    3.2
    (2.93)
    4.74
    (3.57)
    8.8%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sestao won 1.
    • Sestao is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Amorebieta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Sestao is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Sestao won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sestao won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sestao - Amorebieta were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Amorebieta - Sestao 2:0
    29.07.2023 Sestao - Amorebieta 1:2
    Latest results of Sestao
    16.02.2025 Lugo - Sestao 2:1
    08.02.2025 Sestao - Zamora 1:1
    01.02.2025 Sestao - Leonesa 1:1
    25.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Sestao 2:0
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    16.02.2025 Amorebieta - Ponferradina 3:1
    09.02.2025 Leonesa - Amorebieta 2:1
    02.02.2025 Amorebieta - Arenteiro 3:0
    19.01.2025 Amorebieta - Tarazona 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3