Sestao vs Amorebieta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Zorrilla G. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Benito A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 76', 1 - 2, Arratibel B. ,

Chances of winning


Sestao
52.7%
Draw
29.4%
Amorebieta
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 28.4% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 27.7% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Sestao - Amorebieta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.72)
    3.09
    (3.2)
    5.07
    (4.85)
    10.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Sestao - Amorebieta?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Sestao is the team to beat.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sestao - Amorebieta were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Sestao - Amorebieta 1:0
    30.11.2024 Amorebieta - Sestao 2:0
    29.07.2023 Sestao - Amorebieta 1:2
    Latest results of Sestao
    20.12.2025 Basconia - Sestao 3:1
    14.12.2025 Sestao - Gernika 2:2
    07.12.2025 Utebo - Sestao 0:0
    30.11.2025 Sestao - SD Logroñés 1:1
    22.11.2025 Sestao - Eibar B 1:0
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    20.12.2025 Amorebieta - Mutilvera 0:1
    13.12.2025 Eibar B - Amorebieta 0:2
    05.12.2025 Amorebieta - Tudelano 0:0
    30.11.2025 Ejea - Amorebieta 2:1
    22.11.2025 Amorebieta - Náxara 1:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union24148239:192050
    2Utebo FC24134743:301343
    3Tudelano24126638:261242
    4Alaves B24118527:131441
    5Sestao24109527:21639
    6UD Logrones24115847:272038
    7Gernika24115825:23238
    8Ebro24713430:21934
    9Amorebieta2496926:25133
    10Eibar B24951023:28-532
    11Basconia2479833:31230
    12SD Logrones24612618:23-530
    13Naxara24761125:35-1027
    14Ejea24761124:35-1127
    15Mutilvera24751223:38-1526
    16Beasain244101024:29-522
    17Alfaro24451519:40-2117
    18Zaragoza B24441619:46-2716

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation